Progression of Frailty in Survivors of Childhood Cancer: A St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Report

Abstract

Background: Some adult survivors of childhood cancers develop frailty at higher rates than expected based on their chronological age. This study examined the incidence of frailty among survivors at 10 or more years after diagnosis, frailty prevalence 5 years later, and risk factors for becoming frail.

Methods: Frailty was measured at study entry and 5 years later. Logistic regression tested the associations of several factors with having frailty at 5 years for all participants and separately by sex and by study entry frailty status. Cox models evaluated the hazard of death associated with entry frailty considering covariates.

Results: Cancer survivors (range = 0-22 years at diagnosis, median = 7 years) were ages 18-45 years (median = 30 years) at study entry. Frailty prevalence increased from 6.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.0% to 7.5%) to 13.6% (95% CI = 11.9% to 15.4%) at 5 years. Risk factors for frailty at follow-up among all survivors included chest radiation 20 Gy or higher (odds ratio [OR] = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.29 to 3.05), cardiac (OR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.02 to 2.46), and neurological (OR = 2.58, 95% CI = 1.69 to 3.92) conditions; lack of strength training (OR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.14 to 2.66); sedentary lifestyle (OR = 1.75, 95% CI = 1.18 to 2.59); and frailty at study entry (OR = 11.12, 95% CI = 6.64 to 18.61). The strongest risk factor for death during follow-up was prior frailty (OR = 3.52, 95% CI = 1.95 to 6.32).

Conclusions: Prevalent frailty more than doubled at 5 years after study entry among adult childhood cancer survivors. Frailty at entry was the strongest risk factor for death. Because treatment exposures cannot be changed, mitigation of other risk factors for frailty, including lack of strength training and sedentary lifestyle, may decrease risk of adverse health events and improve longevity in survivors.

Figure 1.

Study flow diagram

Figure 2.

Change in prevalence of frailty. Prevalence of frailty, prefrailty (2 frail components), and each individual component of frailty criteria at study entry (filled symbols) and 5-year follow-up (open symbols). Bars represent 95% confidence intervals. The table shows the number of survivors with each status or component at entry and follow-up. ^aP < .001, ^bP = .002 (corrected for multiple comparisons). P values were calculated by McNemar test and were 2-sided. ^cn = 5 missing; ^dn = 1 missing; ^en = 9 missing; and ^fn = 31 missing. ^gAbsent prefrailty includes survivors with normal status only (not including frail survivors).