Unifying the Estimation of Blood Volume Decompensation Status in a Porcine Model of Relative and Absolute Hypovolemia Via Wearable Sensing

Abstract

Hypovolemia remains the leading cause of preventable death in trauma cases. Recent research has demonstrated that using noninvasive continuous waveforms rather than traditional vital signs improves accuracy in early detection of hypovolemia to assist in triage and resuscitation. This work evaluates random forest models trained on different subsets of data from a pig model (n = 6) of absolute (bleeding) and relative (nitroglycerin-induced vasodilation) progressive hypovolemia (to 20% decrease in mean arterial pressure) and resuscitation. Features for the models were derived from a multi-modal set of wearable sensors, comprised of the electrocardiogram (ECG), seismocardiogram (SCG) and reflective photoplethysmogram (RPPG) and were normalized to each subject.s baseline. The median RMSE between predicted and actual percent progression towards cardiovascular decompensation for the best model was 30.5% during the relative period, 16.8% during absolute and 22.1% during resuscitation. The least squares best fit line over the mean aggregated predictions had a slope of 0.65 and intercept of 12.3, with an R² value of 0.93. When transitioned to a binary classification problem to identify decompensation, this model achieved an AUROC of 0.80. This study: a) developed a global model incorporating ECG, SCG and RPPG features for estimating individual-specific decompensation from progressive relative and absolute hypovolemia and resuscitation; b) demonstrated SCG as the most important modality to predict decompensation; c) demonstrated efficacy of random forest models trained on different data subsets; and d) demonstrated adding training data from two discrete forms of hypovolemia increases prediction accuracy for the other form of hypovolemia and resuscitation.