Effects of weather and season on human brain volume

Abstract

We present an exploratory cross-sectional analysis of the effect of season and weather on Freesurfer-derived brain volumes from a sample of 3,279 healthy individuals collected on two MRI scanners in Hartford, CT, USA over a 15 year period. Weather and seasonal effects were analyzed using a single linear regression model with age, sex, motion, scan sequence, time-of-day, month of the year, and the deviation from average barometric pressure, air temperature, and humidity, as covariates. FDR correction for multiple comparisons was applied to groups of non-overlapping ROIs. Significant negative relationships were found between the left- and right- cerebellum cortex and pressure (t = -2.25, p = 0.049; t = -2.771, p = 0.017). Significant positive relationships were found between left- and right- cerebellum cortex and white matter between the comparisons of January/June and January/September. Significant negative relationships were found between several subcortical ROIs for the summer months compared to January. An opposing effect was observed between the supra- and infra-tentorium, with opposite effect directions in winter and summer. Cohen's d effect sizes from monthly comparisons were similar to those reported in recent psychiatric big-data publications, raising the possibility that seasonal changes and weather may be confounds in large cohort studies. Additionally, changes in brain volume due to natural environmental variation have not been reported before and may have implications for weather-related and seasonal ailments.

Fig 1. Cerebellum cortex and subcortical volumes compared.

Plots aligned to annual mean for each ROI. Box plot indicates standard error, and extension lines indicate 95% confidence interval. Thick line indicates mean volume.

Fig 2. Monthly trends in percent difference from annual mean in left- and right-cerebellum cortex, and left- and right-cerebellum white matter, in males and females.

This figure demonstrates the trend peaks at different times of year, but is only for illustrative purposes and not all comparisons between months were statistically significant.