Prediabetes and the risk of heart failure: A meta-analysis

Abstract

Aim: To determine the role of prediabetes in the incidence of heart failure (HF).

Materials and methods: We searched electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar and OpenGrey) for studies up to 31 December 2020. Studies were included for meta-analysis if they reported adjusted relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of HF for prediabetes compared with normoglycaemia. Prediabetes was defined as impaired fasting glucose (IFG) according to the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria (IFG-WHO), or according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) definition (IFG-ADA), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), raised HbA1c according to the ADA criteria (HbA1c-ADA), or according to the International Expert Committee (IEC) recommendation (HbA1c-IEC).

Results: A total of 15 studies comprising 9,827,430 individuals provided data for this analysis. The median follow-up duration of the included studies was 8.0 years. Compared with normoglycaemia, prediabetes was associated with an increased risk for HF: IFG-ADA (RR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.05-1.13), IFG-WHO (RR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.07-1.30), IGT (RR 1.58, 95% CI 1.04-2.39), HbA1c-ADA (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.16-1.41) or HbA1c-IEC (RR 1.40, 95% CI 1.09-1.79), respectively.

Conclusions: Prediabetes is associated with an increased risk of HF. Future studies are needed to evaluate effective treatments for prediabetes to prevent the development and progression of HF.

Keywords: heart failure; prediabetes; prognosis; risk factors.