Development and Validation of Rheumatoid Arthritis Disease Activity Indices Including HandScan (Optical Spectral Transmission) Scores

Abstract

Objective: To develop and validate a composite rheumatoid arthritis (RA) disease activity index using optical spectral transmission (OST) scores obtained with the HandScan, replacing tender and swollen joint counts.

Methods: RA patients from a single center routinely undergoing HandScan measurements with at least 1 concurrent OST score and Disease Activity Score in 28 joints (DAS28) were included. Data were extracted from medical records. Linear regression analyses with the DAS28 as the outcome were performed to create a disease activity index (DAS-OST). OST score, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and patient global assessment (PtGA) visual analog scale (VAS), sex, age, disease duration, and rheumatoid factor status were evaluated as independent variables. Final models were derived based on the statistical significance of coefficients and model fit. Of the data, two-thirds were used for development and one-third for validation; external validation was performed in a cohort from another center. Agreement between DAS-OST and DAS28 was assessed using the Bland-Altman plot method and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Diagnostic value of the DAS-OST was determined for established definitions of remission, low disease activity (LDA), and high disease activity (HDA).

Results: Data of 3,358 observations from 1,505 unique RA patients were extracted. DAS-OST was defined as: -0.44 + OST × 0.03 + male × -0.11 + LN(ESR) × 0.77 + PtGA VAS × 0.03. The ICCs between DAS-OST and DAS28 were 0.88 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.87-0.90) and 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.86) and measurement errors were 0.58 and 0.87 in internal and external validation, respectively. Sensitivity for remission, LDA, and HDA was 79%, 91%, and 43%, respectively, and specificity was 92%, 80%, and 96% in external validation.

Conclusion: Using the HandScan, RA disease activity can be accurately estimated if combined with ESR, PtGA VAS, and sex into a disease activity index (DAS-OST).