Longitudinal follow-up and performance validation of an mRNA-based urine test (Xpert® Bladder Cancer Monitor ) for surveillance in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer
- PMID: 33793062
- PMCID: PMC9292663
- DOI: 10.1111/bju.15418
Longitudinal follow-up and performance validation of an mRNA-based urine test (Xpert® Bladder Cancer Monitor ) for surveillance in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer
Abstract
Objective: To evaluate the performance of the Xpert Bladder Cancer Monitor (Xpert; Cepheid, Sunnyvale, CA, USA) test as a predictor of tumour recurrence in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC).
Patients and methods: Patients (n = 429) undergoing surveillance for NMIBC underwent Xpert, cytology, and UroVysion testing. Patients with a positive Xpert and a negative cystoscopy result (positive-negative [PN] group, n = 66) and a control group of double negative patients (negative Xpert and cystoscopy results [NN] group) were followed for 12 months (±90 days).
Results: Histology-confirmed recurrences were detected in 58 patients (13.5%). Xpert had an overall sensitivity of 60.3% and a specificity of 76.5%. The sensitivity for high-grade (HG) cancer was 87% with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 99%. Urine cytology showed an overall sensitivity of 23.2% (47.6% sensitivity for HG tumours) and a specificity of 88.3%. In the PN group, 32% (n = 21) developed a recurrence within 12 months, 11 of which were HG tumours. In the NN control group, 14% (n = 9) developed a recurrence and only two were HG tumours. The hazard ratio for developing recurrence in the PN group was 2.68 for all tumours and 6.84 for HG cancer.
Conclusions: The Xpert test has a high sensitivity for detecting the recurrence of cancer and a high NPV for excluding HG cancer. In addition, the data suggest that patients with a positive Xpert assay in the setting of negative cystoscopy are at high risk for recurrence and need close surveillance.
Keywords: #BladderCancer; #blcsm; #uroonc; anticipatory positive; liquid biopsy; molecular diagnostic; non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer; surveillance.
© 2021 The Authors BJU International published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of BJU International.
Conflict of interest statement
Dr Lotan reports personal fees from fergene, Ferring Research, Merck, C2I genomics, photocure, Astra Zeneca, AbbVie, Cleveland Diagnostics, BMS, Nucleix, Ambu, Seattle Genetics and Hitachi, outside the submitted work and grants from Abbott, Cepheid, Pacific Edge, and GenomeDx Biosciences, Inc., outside the submitted work. Dr Bridge reports grants from Cepheid, during the conduct of the study, and other from Merck and Bayer, outside the submitted work. Dr Quigley works for Genuity. Geneuity received payment from Cepheid for performing testing on this study. Ms Brown reports personal fees from Cepheid, during the conduct of the study, personal fees from Cepheid, outside the submitted work, and is an employee of a company who sponsored the study. Mrs Zhao reports other from Cepheid (study sponsor and funding source), outside the submitted work. Ms Satya reports other from Cepheid, outside the submitted work. Dr Bates reports personal fees from Cepheid and Danaher, during the conduct of the study, personal fees from Cepheid and Danaher, outside the submitted work. Dr Campbell reports other from Cepheid (study sponsor and funding source), outside the submitted work. All other authors have nothing to declare.
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