Comparison of C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 with other biomarkers for adverse kidney events after cardiac surgery

Abstract

Objective: Outcomes after acute kidney injury are affected by both the severity and the duration of the insult. Patients with persistent acute kidney injury have higher major adverse kidney events, including 90-day mortality, renal replacement therapy, and persistent kidney dysfunction. Methods to identify these patients are urgently needed to improve outcomes. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether biomarkers, including C-C motif chemokine ligand 14, were able to predict persistent acute kidney injury and major adverse kidney events after cardiac surgery.

Methods: This study was a single-center, prospective, observational study. Patients who developed moderate or severe acute kidney injury (Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes 2 or 3) within 72 hours after cardiac surgery were enrolled with a primary end point of persistent severe acute kidney injury (Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes 3) lasting 72 hours or more.

Results: A total of 100 patients were available for the primary analysis, and 37 met the primary end point. C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 was the most predictive biomarker for the primary end point with an area under the curve of 0.930 (95% confidence interval, 0.881-0.979). The area under the curve of C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 was significantly higher than the area under the curve for the other biomarkers analyzed. C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 was significantly higher in end point positive patients at enrollment (4.47 ng/mL [2.35-11.5] vs 0.67 ng/mL [0.38-1.07]; P = .001). Sensitivity and specificity were 78% and 95% at a cutoff value of 2.21 ng/mL, respectively. C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 was also highly accurate for predicting renal replacement therapy within 7 days (area under the curve, 0.915; 95% confidence interval, 0.858-0.972; P < .001).

Conclusions: Elevated C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 levels predict persistent acute kidney injury in cardiac surgery patients with moderate or severe acute kidney injury. This new biomarker may help stratify patients destined to receive renal replacement therapy and identify patients who may benefit from novel therapeutic approaches to acute kidney injury.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov DRKS00021435.

Keywords: CCL14; acute kidney injury; cardiac surgery; prediction.