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. 2021 Mar 30:14:1133-1139.
doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S300776. eCollection 2021.

Combined Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and CURB-65 Score as an Accurate Predictor of Mortality for Community-Acquired Pneumonia in the Elderly

Ding-Yun Feng #  1 , Xiao-Ling Zou #  1 , Yu-Qi Zhou #  1 , Wen-Bin Wu  1 , Hai-Ling Yang  1 , Tian-Tuo Zhang  1
Affiliations

Combined Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and CURB-65 Score as an Accurate Predictor of Mortality for Community-Acquired Pneumonia in the Elderly

Ding-Yun Feng et al. Int J Gen Med. .

Abstract

Purpose: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is common among the elderly; it typically has a poor prognosis and high mortality. This study evaluated the factors predicting CAP-related in-hospital mortality in the elderly to identify a simpler and more accurate predictor.

Patients and methods: This was a single-center, retrospective study. The data used in this study was collected from all older patients (≥65) with CAP admitted to our hospital between January 2012 and April 2020.

Results: A total of 2028 older patients with CAP were included; 121 (5.97%) died in hospital. Of the patients in the study, 1267 (62.5%) were men and 261 (12.9%) had a history of malignant tumors. After performing univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, sex, history of malignant tumor, CURB-65 score, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), hemoglobin level, and NLR*CURB-65 levels were associated with CAP mortality. By comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the predicted factors, the NLR*CURB-65 level used to predict CAP mortality in the elderly was 0.755, and was superior to other measurements. All included patients were then dichotomized into two groups based on NLR*CURB-65 level (≤9.06 and >9.06) according to the ROC analysis. Patients with a high NLR*CURB-65 level had higher in-hospital mortality than those with a low NLR*CURB-65 level. The two divided groups showed significant differences in age, sex, smoking history, comorbidity, and laboratory findings. This indicates that NLR*CURB-65 is a predictive index that could reflect the comprehensive condition of older patients with CAP.

Conclusion: NLR*CURB-65 is a simpler and more accurate predictor of CAP-related in-hospital mortality in the elderly.

Keywords: NLR*CURB-65; community-acquired pneumonia; mortality; predictor.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Analysis roadmap.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Area under the ROC curves of the NLR*CURB-65 level and CURB-65 predicting CAP-related in-hospital mortality in the elderly.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the overall survival of older patients with CAP with different NLR*CURB-65 levels.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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