Survival Trends and Syndromic Esophageal Atresia

Abstract

Background and objectives: Presence of a syndrome (or association) is predictive of poor survival in esophageal atresia (EA). However, most reports rely on historical patient outcomes, limiting their usefulness when estimating risk for neonates born today. We hypothesized improved syndromic EA survival due to advances in neonatal care.

Methods: A retrospective single-center review of survival in 626 consecutive patients with EA from 1980 to 2017 was performed. Data were collected for recognized risk factors: preterm delivery; birth weight <1500 g; major cardiac disease; vertebral defects, anal atresia, cardiac defects, tracheoesophageal fistula, renal anomalies, and limb abnormalities (VACTERL); and non-VACTERL syndromes. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate temporal trends in survival with respect to year of birth and syndromic EA.

Results: Overall, 87% of 626 patients with EA survived, ranging from 82% in the 1980s to 91% in the 2010s. After adjusting for confounders, syndromic EA survival did not improve during the study, with no association found between year of birth and survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.98, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95-1.01). Aside from lethal non-VACTERL syndromes, patients with nonlethal non-VACTERL syndromes (HR 6.85, 95% CI: 3.50-13.41) and VACTERL syndrome (HR 3.02, 95% CI: 1.66-5.49) had a higher risk of death than those with nonsyndromic EA.

Conclusions: Survival of patients with syndromic EA has not improved, and patients with non-VACTERL syndromes have the highest risk of death. Importantly, this is independent of syndrome lethality, birth weight, and cardiac disease. This contemporary survival assessment will enable more accurate perinatal counseling of parents of patients with syndromic EA.