Clinical and Laboratory Markers of Brain Abscess in Tetralogy of Fallot ('BA-TOF' Score): Results of a Case-Control Study and Implications for Community Surveillance
- PMID: 33935447
- PMCID: PMC8079174
- DOI: 10.1055/s-0041-1722819
Clinical and Laboratory Markers of Brain Abscess in Tetralogy of Fallot ('BA-TOF' Score): Results of a Case-Control Study and Implications for Community Surveillance
Abstract
Background Cardiogenic brain abscess (CBA) is the commonest noncardiac cause of morbidity and mortality in cyanotic heart disease (CHD). The clinical diagnosis of a CBA is often delayed due to its nonspecific presentations and the scarce availability of computed tomography (CT) imaging in resource-restricted settings. We attempted to identify parameters that reliably point to the diagnosis of a CBA in patients with Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF). Methods From among 150 children with TOF treated at a tertiary care institute over a 15-year period from 2001 to 2016, 30 consecutive patients with CBAs and 85 age- and sex-matched controls without CBAs were included in this retrospective case-control study. Demographic and clinical features, laboratory investigations, and baseline echocardiographic findings were analyzed for possible correlations with the presence of a CBA. Statistical Analysis Variables demonstrating significant bivariate correlations with the presence of a CBA were further analyzed using multivariate logistic regression (LR) analysis. Various LR models were tested for their predictive value, and the best model was then validated on a hold-out dataset of 25 patients. Results Among the 26 variables tested for bivariate associations with the presence of a CBA, some of the clinical, echocardiographic, and laboratory variables demonstrated significant correlations ( p < 0.05). LR analysis revealed elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and erythrocyte sedimentation rate values and a lower age-adjusted resting heart rate percentile to be the strongest independent biomarkers of a CBA. The LR model was statistically significant, (χ 2 = 23.72, p = <0.001), and it fitted the data well. It explained 53% (Nagelkerke R 2 ) of the variance in occurrence of a CBA, and correctly classified 83.93% of cases. The model demonstrated a good predictive value (area under the curve: 0.80) on validation analysis. Conclusions This study has identified simple clinical and laboratory parameters that can serve as reliable pointers of a CBA in patients with TOF. A scoring model-the 'BA-TOF' score-that predicts the occurrence of a CBA has been proposed. Patients with higher scores on the proposed model should be referred urgently for a CT confirmation of the diagnosis. Usage of such a diagnostic aid in resource-limited settings can optimize the pickup rates of a CBA and potentially improve outcomes.
Keywords: Tetralogy of Fallot; cardiogenic brain abscess; markers.
Association for Helping Neurosurgical Sick People. This is an open access article published by Thieme under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonDerivative-NonCommercial-License, permitting copying and reproduction so long as the original work is given appropriate credit. Contents may not be used for commercial purposes, or adapted, remixed, transformed or built upon. (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Conflict of interest statement
Ethical ApprovalConflict of InterestAuthors’ Contributions This manuscript has been prepared using guidelines laid down by the institute. The institutional review board and ethics committee have granted approval for the study. The authors confirm that they have read the journal’s position on issues involved in ethical publication and affirm that this report is consistent with those guidelines in accordance with the World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki. None declared. V.K. collected data and prepared the initial draft. S.T. was involved in conception, statistical analyses, review, and final preparation of the manuscript. S.A. provided critical feedback and reviewed the manuscript. P.K. reviewed the final manuscript. D.M. supervised the study and reviewed the manuscript draft. A.S.H. provided administrative support and reviewed the final manuscript.
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