The 10-year Survival Analysis of Radiofrequency Ablation for Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma 5 cm or Smaller: Primary versus Recurrent HCC

Abstract

Background Although favorable outcomes have been reported with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for limited hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the efficacy of this treatment for recurrent HCC has not been thoroughly investigated. Purpose To compare the long-term outcomes and analyze the prognostic factors for outcomes after RFA for initial HCC versus as a second-line treatment for recurrent HCC. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included 560 patients with solitary tumors 5 cm or smaller (263 initial HCCs, 297 -recurrent HCCs) who underwent percutaneous US-guided RFA from January 2005 to December 2016. Of 297 patients with -recurrent HCC, 134 had previously undergone hepatectomy, 128 had undergone transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and 35 had undergone local ablation therapy. Overall survival (OS) between initial HCC and recurrent HCC was compared before and after propensity score matching. Prognostic factors for all patients were analyzed with the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model. Results A total of 560 patients (mean age, 60 years ± 12 [standard deviation]; 441 men) were evaluated. Before matching, the OS rates at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years were 92.6%, 73.9%, 59.3%, and 39.6%, respectively, in patients with recurrent HCC and 92.8%, 75.4%, 63.3%, and 44.7% in patients with initial HCC (P = .27). After matching, the OS rates at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years were 94.8%, 75.7%, 61.6%, and 47.3% in the initial HCC group and 91.9%, 71.2%, 58.7%, and 45.2% in the recurrent HCC group (P = .32). Among patients with recurrent HCC, no significant difference in mean OS was noted for local recurrence versus distant recurrence (81.6 months ± 5.1 vs 83.8 months ± 6.6, P = .82) or previous treatment modality (82.0 months ± 7.3 in the resection group, 82.7 months ± 5.3 in the TACE group, and 79.3 months ± 10.8 in the local ablation group; P = .83). Local tumor progression after previous local ablation (10 of 35 [28.6%]) was higher than that after previous hepatectomy (15 of 134 [11.2%], P = .04). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that tumor size (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI: 1.06, 2.36; P = .02), portal hypertension (hazard ratio, 1.52; 95% CI: 1.03, 2.26; P = .04), Child-Pugh class (hazard ratio, 2.01; 95% CI: 1.02, 3.96; P = .045), and serum α-fetoprotein level (hazard ratio, 1.62; 95% CI: 1.10, 2.39; P = .01) were independent predictive factors for recurrent HCC outcomes. Conclusion Radiofrequency ablation provides similar long-term survival for solitary hepatocellular carcinoma of 5 cm or less, regardless of whether treatment is initial or salvage therapy. © RSNA, 2021 Online supplemental material is available for this article.