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Observational Study
. 2021 Jul 2;100(26):e26507.
doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000026507.

Short-term mortality from HIV-infected persons diagnosed from 2012 to 2016: Impact of late diagnosis of HIV infection

Affiliations
Observational Study

Short-term mortality from HIV-infected persons diagnosed from 2012 to 2016: Impact of late diagnosis of HIV infection

Li Wei Ang et al. Medicine (Baltimore). .

Abstract

We investigated the temporal trends of short-term mortality (death within 1 year of diagnosis) and cause-specific deaths in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected persons by stage of HIV infection at diagnosis. We also assessed the impact of late diagnosis (LD) on short-term mortality.Epidemiological records of HIV-infected Singapore residents from the National HIV Registry were linked to death records from the Registry of Births and Deaths for observational analyses. Newly-diagnosed HIV cases with available cluster of differentiation 4 count at time of diagnosis in a 5-year period from 2012 to 2016 were included in the study. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of LD for all deaths excluding suicides and self-inflicted or accidental injuries, and HIV/ acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related deaths occurring within 1 year post-diagnosis were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression models with adjustment for age at HIV/AIDS diagnosis. Population attributable risk proportions (PARPs) were then calculated using the adjusted HRs.Of the 1990 newly-diagnosed HIV cases included in the study, 7.2% had died by end of 2017, giving an overall mortality rate of 2.16 per 100 person-years (PY) (95% CI 1.82-2.54). The mortality rate was 3.81 per 100 PY (95% CI 3.15-4.56) in HIV cases with LD, compared with 0.71 (95% CI 0.46-1.05) in non-LD (nLD) cases. Short-term mortality was significantly higher in LD (9.1%) than nLD cases (1.1%). Of the 143 deaths reported between 2012 and 2017, 58.0% were HIV/AIDS-related (nLD 28.0% vs LD 64.4%). HIV/AIDS-related causes represented 70.4% of all deaths which occurred during the first year of diagnosis (nLD 36.4% vs LD 74.7%). The PARP of short-term mortality due to LD was 77.8% for all deaths by natural causes, and 87.8% for HIV/AIDS-related deaths.The mortality rate of HIV-infected persons with LD was higher than nLD, especially within 1 year of diagnosis, and HIV/AIDS-related causes constituted majority of these deaths. To reduce short-term mortality, persons at high risk of late-stage HIV infection should be targeted in outreach efforts to promote health screening and remove barriers to HIV testing and treatment.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have no funding and conflicts of interest to disclose.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Distribution of clinical and immunological features of HIV/AIDS cases with late diagnosis (LD) by year of diagnosis, 2012 to 2016. LD = late diagnosis, nLD = non-late diagnosis.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Annual all-cause mortality rate per 100 person-years among HIV/AIDS cases, 2012 to 2017. (A) Overall. (B) Late diagnosis and non-late diagnosis. LD = late diagnosis, nLD = non-late diagnosis.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Kaplan–Meier survival estimates of HIV/AIDS cases stratified by stage of HIV infection at diagnosis. The number at risk since diagnosis is shown in the table below the figure. LD = late diagnosis, nLD = non-late diagnosis.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Distribution of causes of death of HIV/AIDS cases diagnosed from 2012 to 2016 according to time interval between HIV diagnosis and death, stratified by stage of HIV infection at diagnosis. LD = late diagnosis, nLD = non-late diagnosis.
Figure 5
Figure 5
Annual mortality rate per 100 person-years by HIV/AIDS-related and non-HIV/AIDS related causes of death, 2012 to 2017.

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