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. 2021 Sep;5(9):1283-1290.
doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01510-3. Epub 2021 Jul 22.

Drivers of seedling establishment success in dryland restoration efforts

Nancy Shackelford #  1   2 Gustavo B Paterno #  3   4 Daniel E Winkler  5 Todd E Erickson  6   7 Elizabeth A Leger  8 Lauren N Svejcar  9 Martin F Breed  10 Akasha M Faist  11 Peter A Harrison  12 Michael F Curran  13 Qinfeng Guo  14 Anita Kirmer  15 Darin J Law  16 Kevin Z Mganga  17 Seth M Munson  18 Lauren M Porensky  19 R Emiliano Quiroga  20   21 Péter Török  22 Claire E Wainwright  23 Ali Abdullahi  24 Matt A Bahm  25 Elizabeth A Ballenger  26 Nichole Barger  27 Owen W Baughman  28 Carina Becker  29 Manuel Esteban Lucas-Borja  30 Chad S Boyd  9 Carla M Burton  31 Philip J Burton  31 Eman Calleja  32 Peter J Carrick  33 Alex Caruana  32 Charlie D Clements  34 Kirk W Davies  9 Balázs Deák  35 Jessica Drake  36 Sandra Dullau  15 Joshua Eldridge  37 Erin Espeland  38 Hannah L Farrell  18 Stephen E Fick  5 Magda Garbowski  39 Enrique G de la Riva  40 Peter J Golos  7 Penelope A Grey  41 Barry Heydenrych  42 Patricia M Holmes  43 Jeremy J James  44 Jayne Jonas-Bratten  45 Réka Kiss  35 Andrea T Kramer  46 Julie E Larson  27 Juan Lorite  47   48 C Ellery Mayence  49 Luis Merino-Martín  50 Tamás Miglécz  51 Suanne Jane Milton  52   53 Thomas A Monaco  54 Arlee M Montalvo  55 Jose A Navarro-Cano  56 Mark W Paschke  57 Pablo Luis Peri  58 Monica L Pokorny  59 Matthew J Rinella  60 Nelmarie Saayman  61 Merilynn C Schantz  62 Tina Parkhurst  63 Eric W Seabloom  64 Katharine L Stuble  65 Shauna M Uselman  66 Orsolya Valkó  35 Kari Veblen  67 Scott Wilson  68 Megan Wong  69 Zhiwei Xu  70 Katharine L Suding  27   71
Affiliations

Drivers of seedling establishment success in dryland restoration efforts

Nancy Shackelford et al. Nat Ecol Evol. 2021 Sep.

Erratum in

  • Author Correction: Drivers of seedling establishment success in dryland restoration efforts.
    Shackelford N, Paterno GB, Winkler DE, Erickson TE, Leger EA, Svejcar LN, Breed MF, Faist AM, Harrison PA, Curran MF, Guo Q, Kirmer A, Law DJ, Mganga KZ, Munson SM, Porensky LM, Quiroga RE, Török P, Wainwright CE, Abdullahi A, Bahm MA, Ballenger EA, Barger N, Baughman OW, Becker C, Lucas-Borja ME, Boyd CS, Burton CM, Burton PJ, Calleja E, Carrick PJ, Caruana A, Clements CD, Davies KW, Deák B, Drake J, Dullau S, Eldridge J, Espeland E, Farrell HL, Fick SE, Garbowski M, de la Riva EG, Golos PJ, Grey PA, Heydenrych B, Holmes PM, James JJ, Jonas-Bratten J, Kiss R, Kramer AT, Larson JE, Lorite J, Mayence CE, Merino-Martín L, Miglécz T, Milton SJ, Monaco TA, Montalvo AM, Navarro-Cano JA, Paschke MW, Peri PL, Pokorny ML, Rinella MJ, Saayman N, Schantz MC, Parkhurst T, Seabloom EW, Stuble KL, Uselman SM, Valkó O, Veblen K, Wilson S, Wong M, Xu Z, Suding KL. Shackelford N, et al. Nat Ecol Evol. 2021 Sep;5(9):1319. doi: 10.1038/s41559-021-01544-7. Nat Ecol Evol. 2021. PMID: 34321611 No abstract available.

Abstract

Restoration of degraded drylands is urgently needed to mitigate climate change, reverse desertification and secure livelihoods for the two billion people who live in these areas. Bold global targets have been set for dryland restoration to restore millions of hectares of degraded land. These targets have been questioned as overly ambitious, but without a global evaluation of successes and failures it is impossible to gauge feasibility. Here we examine restoration seeding outcomes across 174 sites on six continents, encompassing 594,065 observations of 671 plant species. Our findings suggest reasons for optimism. Seeding had a positive impact on species presence: in almost a third of all treatments, 100% of species seeded were growing at first monitoring. However, dryland restoration is risky: 17% of projects failed, with no establishment of any seeded species, and consistent declines were found in seeded species as projects matured. Across projects, higher seeding rates and larger seed sizes resulted in a greater probability of recruitment, with further influences on species success including site aridity, taxonomic identity and species life form. Our findings suggest that investigations examining these predictive factors will yield more effective and informed restoration decision-making.

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