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. 2021 Aug 10;11(8):e044867.
doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044867.

Tuberculosis care cascade in Zambia - identifying the gaps in order to improve outcomes: a population-based analysis

Affiliations

Tuberculosis care cascade in Zambia - identifying the gaps in order to improve outcomes: a population-based analysis

Patrick Lungu et al. BMJ Open. .

Abstract

Objective: Tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Zambia, especially for people living with HIV (PLHIV). We undertook a care cascade analysis to quantify gaps in care and align programme improvement measures with areas of need.

Design: Retrospective, population-based analysis.

Setting: We derived national-level estimates for each step of the TB care cascade in Zambia. Estimates were informed by WHO incidence estimates, nationally aggregated laboratory and notification registers, and individual-level programme data from four provinces.

Participants: Participants included all individuals with active TB disease in Zambia in 2018. We characterised the overall TB cascade and disaggregated by drug susceptibility results and HIV status.

Results: In 2018, the total burden of TB in Zambia was estimated to be 72 495 (range, 40 495-111 495) cases. Of these, 43 387 (59.8%) accessed TB testing, 40 176 (55.4%) were diagnosed with TB, 36 431 (50.3%) were started on treatment and 32 700 (45.1%) completed treatment. Among all persons with TB lost at any step along the care cascade (n=39 795), 29 108 (73.1%) were lost prior to accessing diagnostic services, 3211 (8.1%) prior to diagnosis, 3745 (9.4%) prior to initiating treatment and 3731 (9.4%) prior to treatment completion. PLHIV were less likely than HIV-negative individuals to successfully complete the care cascade (42.8% vs 50.2%, p<0.001). Among those with rifampicin-resistant TB, there was substantial attrition at each step of the cascade and only 22.8% were estimated to have successfully completed treatment.

Conclusions: Losses throughout the care cascade resulted in a large proportion of individuals with TB not completing treatment. Ongoing health systems strengthening and patient-centred engagement strategies are needed at every step of the care cascade; however, scale-up of active case finding strategies is particularly critical to ensure individuals with TB in the population reach initial stages of care. Additionally, a renewed focus on PLHIV and individuals with drug-resistant TB is urgently needed to improve TB-related outcomes in Zambia.

Keywords: HIV & AIDS; epidemiology; public health; tuberculosis.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: None declared.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
The tuberculosis (TB) care cascade in Zambia in 2018 among (A) all tuberculosis cases; (B) drug-susceptible cases; (C) rifampicin-resistant cases; (D) drug-susceptible cases among HIV-positive individuals; and (E) drug-susceptible cases among HIV-negative individuals.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Diagnoses and notifications of (A) all forms of drug-susceptible pulmonary TB in Zambia between 2015 and 2018 and (B) drug-resistant TB in Zambia between 2015 and 2018. DS, drug susceptible MDR-TB, multidrug-resistant tuberculosis; PTB, pulmonary tuberculosis; RR-TB, rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis; TB, tuberculosis.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Overview of drug-susceptible tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes in Zambia between 2015 and 2018, disaggregated according to tuberculosis type. Shapes represent the proportion of patients completing tuberculosis treatment.PTB, pulmonary tuberculosis

References

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