Estimating the causal effect of embryo transfer day on clinical in vitro fertilization outcomes using propensity score matching
- PMID: 34388966
- PMCID: PMC8364091
- DOI: 10.1186/s12884-021-04013-y
Estimating the causal effect of embryo transfer day on clinical in vitro fertilization outcomes using propensity score matching
Abstract
Background: For women undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF), the clinical benefit of embryo transfer at the blastocyst stage (Day 5) versus cleavage stage (Day 3) remains controversial. The purpose of this study is to compare the implantation rate, clinical pregnancy rate and odds of live birth of Day 3 and Day 5 embryo transfer, and more importantly, to address the issue that patients were chosen to receive either transfer protocol due to their underlying clinical characteristics, i.e., confounding by indication.
Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 9,090 IVF cycles collected by Lee Women's Hospital in Taichung, Taiwan from 1998 to 2014. We utilized the method of propensity score matching to mimic a randomized controlled trial (RCT) where each patient with Day 5 transfer was matched by another patient with Day 3 transfer with respect to other clinical characteristics. Implantation rate, clinical pregnancy rate, and odds of live birth were compared for women underwent Day 5 transfer and Day 3 transfer to estimate the causal effects. We further investigated the causal effects in subgroups by stratifying age and anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH).
Results: Our analyses uncovered an evidence of a significant difference in implantation rate (p=0.04) favoring Day 5 transfer, and showed that Day 3 and Day 5 transfers made no difference in both odds of live birth (p=0.27) and clinical pregnancy rate (p=0.11). With the increase of gestational age, the trend toward non-significance of embryo transfer day in our result appeared to be consistent for subgroups stratified by age and AMH, while all analyses stratified by age and AMH were not statistically significant.
Conclusions: We conclude that for women without strong indications for Day 3 or Day 5 transfer, there is a small significant difference in implantation rate in favor of Day 5 transfer. However, the two protocols have indistinguishable outcomes on odds of live birth and clinical pregnancy rate.
Keywords: Blastocyst; Cleavage-stage transfer; Embryo transfer; In vitro fertilization; Indication bias.
© 2021. The Author(s).
Conflict of interest statement
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Figures
Similar articles
-
Day 4 good morula embryo transfer provided compatible live birth rate with day 5 blastocyst embryo in fresh IVF/ET cycles.Taiwan J Obstet Gynecol. 2018 Feb;57(1):52-57. doi: 10.1016/j.tjog.2017.12.008. Taiwan J Obstet Gynecol. 2018. PMID: 29458903
-
Propensity score-matched study and meta-analysis of cumulative outcomes of day 2/3 versus day 5/6 embryo transfers.Front Med. 2017 Dec;11(4):563-569. doi: 10.1007/s11684-017-0535-6. Epub 2017 Jul 25. Front Med. 2017. PMID: 28744794
-
Non-inferiority of cleavage-stage versus blastocyst-stage embryo transfer in poor prognosis IVF patients (PRECiSE trial): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial.Reprod Health. 2020 Jan 30;17(1):16. doi: 10.1186/s12978-020-0870-y. Reprod Health. 2020. PMID: 32000803 Free PMC article. Clinical Trial.
-
Guidelines for the number of embryos to transfer following in vitro fertilization No. 182, September 2006.Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2008 Aug;102(2):203-16. doi: 10.1016/j.ijgo.2008.01.007. Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2008. PMID: 18773532 Review.
-
Fresh versus elective frozen embryo transfer in IVF/ICSI cycles: a systematic review and meta-analysis of reproductive outcomes.Hum Reprod Update. 2019 Jan 1;25(1):2-14. doi: 10.1093/humupd/dmy033. Hum Reprod Update. 2019. PMID: 30388233
Cited by
-
Elevated estradiol levels on hCG trigger day adversely effects on the clinical pregnancy rates of blastocyst embryo transfer but not cleavage-stage embryo transfer in fresh cycles: a retrospective cohort study.PeerJ. 2023 Jul 18;11:e15709. doi: 10.7717/peerj.15709. eCollection 2023. PeerJ. 2023. PMID: 37483963 Free PMC article.
References
-
- Schoolcraft W, Gardner D. Blastocyst versus day 2 or 3 transfer. In: Seminars in Reproductive Medicine: 2001. p. 259–68. CopyrightⒸ 2001 by Thieme Medical Publishers, Inc., 333 Seventh Avenue, New …. - PubMed
Publication types
MeSH terms
Grants and funding
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources