Do school closures and school reopenings affect community transmission of COVID-19? A systematic review of observational studies
- PMID: 34404718
- PMCID: PMC8375447
- DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053371
Do school closures and school reopenings affect community transmission of COVID-19? A systematic review of observational studies
Abstract
Objectives: To systematically reivew the observational evidence of the effect of school closures and school reopenings on SARS-CoV-2 community transmission.
Setting: Schools (including early years settings, primary schools and secondary schools).
Intervention: School closures and reopenings.
Outcome measure: Community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 (including any measure of community infections rate, hospital admissions or mortality attributed to COVID-19).
Methods: On 7 January 2021, we searched PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL, the WHO Global COVID-19 Research Database, ERIC, the British Education Index, the Australian Education Index and Google, searching title and abstracts for terms related to SARS-CoV-2 AND terms related to schools or non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). We used the Cochrane Risk of Bias In Non-randomised Studies of Interventions tool to evaluate bias.
Results: We identified 7474 articles, of which 40 were included, with data from 150 countries. Of these, 32 studies assessed school closures and 11 examined reopenings. There was substantial heterogeneity between school closure studies, with half of the studies at lower risk of bias reporting reduced community transmission by up to 60% and half reporting null findings. The majority (n=3 out of 4) of school reopening studies at lower risk of bias reported no associated increases in transmission.
Conclusions: School closure studies were at risk of confounding and collinearity from other non-pharmacological interventions implemented around the same time as school closures, and the effectiveness of closures remains uncertain. School reopenings, in areas of low transmission and with appropriate mitigation measures, were generally not accompanied by increasing community transmission. With such varied evidence on effectiveness, and the harmful effects, policymakers should take a measured approach before implementing school closures; and should look to reopen schools in times of low transmission, with appropriate mitigation measures.
Keywords: COVID-19; epidemiology; public health.
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.
Conflict of interest statement
Competing interests: None declared.
Figures


Comment in
-
Covid-19 control measures and common paediatric infections.BMJ. 2022 Jan 12;376:n3093. doi: 10.1136/bmj.n3093. BMJ. 2022. PMID: 35022224 Free PMC article.
Similar articles
-
Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemic: a scoping review.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Dec 17;12(12):CD013812. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013812. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020. PMID: 33331665 Free PMC article.
-
School closures and reopenings during the COVID-19 pandemic: a scoping review protocol.BMJ Open. 2022 Feb 2;12(2):e054292. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054292. BMJ Open. 2022. PMID: 35110320 Free PMC article.
-
Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemic.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024 May 2;5(5):CD015029. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD015029.pub2. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024. PMID: 38695826 Free PMC article.
-
Folic acid supplementation and malaria susceptibility and severity among people taking antifolate antimalarial drugs in endemic areas.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022 Feb 1;2(2022):CD014217. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD014217. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022. PMID: 36321557 Free PMC article.
-
Quarantine alone or in combination with other public health measures to control COVID-19: a rapid review.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Sep 15;9(9):CD013574. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013574.pub2. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020. PMID: 33959956 Free PMC article.
Cited by
-
Inequalities in the Challenges Affecting Children and their Families during COVID-19 with School Closures and Reopenings: A Qualitative Study.Public Health Ethics. 2022 Dec 14;15(3):240-255. doi: 10.1093/phe/phac030. eCollection 2022 Nov. Public Health Ethics. 2022. PMID: 36727102 Free PMC article.
-
Children in the household and risk of severe COVID-19 during the first three waves of the pandemic: a prospective registry-based cohort study of 1.5 million Swedish men.BMJ Open. 2022 Aug 11;12(8):e063640. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-063640. BMJ Open. 2022. PMID: 35953248 Free PMC article.
-
Qualitative longitudinal research on the experience of implementing Covid-19 prevention in English schools.SSM Qual Res Health. 2023 Jun;3:100257. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmqr.2023.100257. Epub 2023 Mar 24. SSM Qual Res Health. 2023. PMID: 36998431 Free PMC article.
-
Evolving infectious disease dynamics shape school-based intervention effectiveness.Nat Commun. 2025 Jul 17;16(1):6597. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-61925-5. Nat Commun. 2025. PMID: 40676002 Free PMC article.
-
Impact of alternative Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions strategies for controlling COVID-19 outbreak in Bangladesh: A modeling study.PLoS One. 2024 Feb 23;19(2):e0293863. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0293863. eCollection 2024. PLoS One. 2024. PMID: 38394237 Free PMC article.
References
-
- UNESCO . Global monitring of school closures caused by COVID-19 [Internet]. Education:From disruption to recovery, 2020. Available: https://en.unesco.org/covid19/educationresponse [Accessed 18 Dec 2020].
-
- Unicef . Framework for reopening schools, 2020.
-
- UNESCO . Adverse consequences of school closures [Internet], 2020. Available: https://en.unesco.org/covid19/educationresponse/consequences [Accessed 18 Dec 2020].
-
- Viner R, Russell S, Saulle R. Impacts of school closures on physical and mental health of children and young people: a systematic review. medRxiv 2021:1;2021.02.10.21251526http://medrxiv.org/content/early/2021/02/12/2021.02.10.21251526.abstract
-
- ECDC . COVID-19 in children and the role of school settings in COVID-19 transmission. Stockholm, 2020.
Publication types
MeSH terms
Grants and funding
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Medical
Miscellaneous