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. 2021 Aug 25;16(8):e0255760.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0255760. eCollection 2021.

Welfare states as lifecycle redistribution machines: Decomposing the roles of age and socio-economic status shows that European tax-and-benefit systems primarily redistribute across age groups

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Welfare states as lifecycle redistribution machines: Decomposing the roles of age and socio-economic status shows that European tax-and-benefit systems primarily redistribute across age groups

Pieter Vanhuysse et al. PLoS One. .

Abstract

Social scientists identify two core functions of modern welfare states as redistribution across (a) socio-economic status groups (Robin Hood) and (b) 'the lifecycle' (the piggy bank). But what is the relative importance of these functions? The answer has been elusive, as the piggy bank is metaphorical. The intra-personal time-travel of resources it implies is based on non-quid-pro-quo transfers. In practice, 'lifecycle redistribution' must operate through inter-age-group resource reallocation in cross-section. Since at any time different birth cohorts live together, 'resource-productive' working-aged people are taxed to finance consumption of 'resource-dependent' younger and older people. In a novel decomposition analysis, we study the joint distribution of socio-economic status, age, and respectively (a) all cash and in-kind transfers ('benefits'), (b) financing contributions ('taxes'), and (c) resulting 'net benefits,' on a sample of over 400,000 Europeans from 22 EU countries. European welfare states, often maligned as ineffective Robin Hood vehicles riddled with Matthew effects, are better characterized as inter-age redistribution machines performing a more important second task rather well: lifecycle consumption smoothing. Social policies serve multiple goals in Europe, but empirically they are neither primarily nor solely responsible for poverty relief and inequality reduction.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1. Per capita welfare benefits (cash and in-kind) by age and SES in the European Union.
Source: Authors’ calculation. Notes: Calculated from a pooled sample of over 400,000 individuals from 22 EU countries. National values are re-scaled based on the average labor income of 30-49-year-olds. The image is rotated.
Fig 2
Fig 2. Per capita taxes and contributions financing welfare benefits by age and SES in the European Union.
Sources and notes as in Fig 1.
Fig 3
Fig 3. Per capita net welfare benefits (benefits minus taxes) by age and SES in the European Union.
Sources and notes as in Fig 1.
Fig 4
Fig 4. Average marginal effects of socio-economic status and age groups in the benefits, taxes, and net benefits models (reference category, age = 1 (youngest), SES = 1 (lowest)).
Note: Based on regression models including only age and SES dummies and their interaction as explanatory variables.

References

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