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. 2021 Aug 23;10(8):814.
doi: 10.3390/biology10080814.

Breast Cancer Mortality in the Americas and Australasia over the Period 1980-2017 with Predictions for 2025

Cezary Wojtyla  1 , Paola Bertuccio  2 , Michal Ciebiera  3 , Carlo La Vecchia  4
Affiliations

Breast Cancer Mortality in the Americas and Australasia over the Period 1980-2017 with Predictions for 2025

Cezary Wojtyla et al. Biology (Basel). .

Abstract

Substantial progress has been made in the diagnosis, management, and treatment of breast cancer over the last decades. This has affected mortality rates but has also led to inequality in epidemiological trends between different regions of the world. We extracted death certification data for breast cancer from the World Health Organization database. We analyzed trends in breast cancer mortality in selected countries from America, Asia, and Oceania over the 1980-2017 period and predicted numbers of deaths and rates for 2025. In North America, we observed decreased breast cancer mortality, reaching a rate of about 13/100,000 women in 2017. In Latin American countries, breast cancer mortality rates did not consistently decrease. The highest decreases in mortality were observed in Australia. Mortality trends in Asian countries remained among the lowest globally. We have predicted decreased mortality from breast cancer in 2025 for most of the analyzed countries. The epidemiological situation regarding breast cancer mortality is expected to change in the coming years. Advancements in diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer must be extended in various areas of the world to obtain global control of breast cancer mortality.

Keywords: breast cancer; mortality; projections; trends.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Bar plot of the age-standardized (world population) rates for breast cancer registered in 2017 (or 2015 for Kuwait), ordered from the highest to the lowest rate.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Joinpoint analysis of trends in breast cancer mortality in major countries worldwide from 1980 to 2017 according to data availability.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Estimated numbers of avoided breast cancer deaths between 1991 and 2025, assuming constant age-specific rates in 1990 (light grey area).
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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