Transition from mild cognitive impairment to normal cognition: Determining the predictors of reversion with multi-state Markov models
- PMID: 34482637
- DOI: 10.1002/alz.12448
Transition from mild cognitive impairment to normal cognition: Determining the predictors of reversion with multi-state Markov models
Abstract
Introduction: The theoretical framework of the Alzheimer's disease continuum considers transition between stages in a unidirectional manner. Here we examine the rate of reversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to normal cognition (NC) and explore a set of potential variables associated with this phenomenon.
Methods: A total of 985 Spanish community-dwelling individuals aged 70 years and over at baseline were monitored for 5 years. During this time, 173 MCI and 36 dementia cases were identified. Multi-state Markov models were performed to characterize transitions between states through the dementia continuum.
Results: The rate of reversion from MCI to NC was 11%. There were significant non-modifiable (age, socioeconomic status, or apolipoprotein E) and modifiable factors (cognitive training or absence of affective symptoms) associated with reversion.
Discussion: Overall, our results highlight that the likelihood of progression from MCI to dementia is very similar to that of reversion from MCI to NC.
Keywords: Alzheimer´s disease; dementia; mild cognitive impairment; multi-state Markov model; normal cognition; subjective cognitive decline.
© 2021 the Alzheimer's Association.
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