Geographical clusters of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and the Bradford Hill criteria

Abstract

With the aim of shedding further light on the role of environmental factors in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) etiology, we hereby conducted a historical narrative review to critically appraise the published reports on ALS geographical clusters using the modern interpretation of the Bradford Hill criteria for causation. Our research hypothesis was that the more criteria were met, the greater was the evidence supporting a causal association. We found that cluster studies that met the greatest number of Bradford's Hill criteria regarded the non-protein amino acid β-N-methylamino-L-alanine (L-BMAA) and exposure to metals and minerals, but the evidence for causation was at best moderate and was poor for other environmental factors. This defective picture might be attributed not only to the methodological approach adopted by published studies, but also to the inherent difficulties in the application of Bradford Hill criteria, due to the complexity of the disease phenotype and the underlying pathogenic mechanisms.

Keywords: Bradford Hill criteria; geographical clusters; review.