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. 2020 Jul 10;2(28):520-524.
doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2020.141.

Trends and Challenges for Population Health and Migration - China, 2015-2050

Yanan Luo  1   2 , Chao Guo  1   2 , Yiran Wang  1   2 , Xiaoying Zheng  1   2
Affiliations

Trends and Challenges for Population Health and Migration - China, 2015-2050

Yanan Luo et al. China CDC Wkly. .

Abstract

What is already known about this topic?

Along with the quick change of society and health transformation, as well as the continued expansion of urbanization, the health risk and its variation of migrants in China would became more complicated.

What is added by this report?

Although a decreasing net migration flow trend was presented from 2015 to 2050, an increasing pace of aging and younger-age trend of migrants would pose serious challenges for population health in China. Deepening aging trend of migrants contributes to the increment of the disease burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and disabilities, and the upward trend of young-age migrant patients with infectious diseases remain a threat to the future intervention and prevention of infectious diseases.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Health policies to eliminate the adverse effects of migration on population health should pay more attention to meet the health care demands of highly vulnerable migrant populations, such as very older and very young migrants.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interests: The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Figure 1
Figure 1
Population-Development-Environment prediction results of population pyramids by urban and rural, China 2015–2050. (A) Population Pyramid in urban, 2015; (B) Population Pyramid in rural, 2015; (C) Population Pyramid in urban, 2030; (D) Population Pyramid in rural, 2030; (E) Population Pyramid in urban, 2050; (F) Population Pyramid in rural, 2050.
Figure 2
Figure 2
The predicted trends of net migration flow, China 2015–2050. (A) Total net migration flow, China 2015–2050; (B) Net migration flow aged 60+ years old, China 2015–2050; (C) Net migration flow aged 0–17 years old, China 2015–2050.
Figure 3
Figure 3
The predicted trend of net migration flow and population health conditions, China 2015–2050. (A) The trend of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) among 60+ years old net migrants and NCDs caused Disability Adjusted of Life Years (DALY), China 2015–2050; (B) The trend of 60+ years old net migrants and disabilities, China 2015–2050; (C) The trend of communicable diseases among 0–15 years old net migrants and communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases caused DALY, China 2015–2050.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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