Liver transplantation for HCC: validation of prognostic power of the RETREAT score for recurrence in a UK cohort

Abstract

Background: The Risk Estimation of Tumor Recurrence After Transplant (RETREAT) score as a prognostic index for recurrence has been reported previously and has not been validated outside the USA. Our study has validated the score in a single center UK cohort of patients being transplanted for HCC.

Methods: LT for HCC between 2008 and 2018 at our center were analyzed. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was compared by the RETREAT score and validated using Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) by comparing it to Milan criteria.

Results: 346 adult HCC patients were transplanted of whom 313 were included. 28 (8.9%) had a recurrence. Summation of largest diameter and total number of viable tumors (HR = 1.19, p < 0.001), micro-/macro-vascular invasion (HR = 3.74, p = 0.002) and AFP>20 ng/ml (HR = 3.03, p = 0.005) were associated with recurrence on multivariate analysis. RFS decreased with increasing RETREAT score (log-rank p = 0.016). RETREAT performed better than Milan with significant NRI at 1- and 2-years post-transplant (0.43 (p = 0.004) and 0.38 (p = 0.03) respectively).

Conclusion: LT outcomes using the revised UK criteria are equivalent to Milan criteria. Further, RETREAT score was validated as a prognostic index for the first time in a UK cohort and may assist risk stratification, selection for adjuvant therapies and guide surveillance.