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Observational Study
. 2022 Jan;31(1):262-268.
doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-21-0503. Epub 2021 Nov 2.

Postdiagnosis BMI Change Is Associated with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Survival

Affiliations
Observational Study

Postdiagnosis BMI Change Is Associated with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Survival

Qianyu Yuan et al. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2022 Jan.

Abstract

Background: Body mass index (BMI) change after a lung cancer diagnosis has been associated with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) survival. This study aimed to quantify the association based on a large-scale observational study.

Methods: Included in the study were 7,547 patients with NSCLC with prospectively collected BMI data from Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women's Hospital/Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Cox proportional hazards regression with time-dependent covariates was used to estimate effect of time-varying postdiagnosis BMI change rate (% per month) on overall survival (OS), stratified by clinical subgroups. Spline analysis was conducted to quantify the nonlinear association. A Mendelian Randomization (MR) analysis with a total of 3,495 patients further validated the association.

Results: There was a J-shape association between postdiagnosis BMI change and OS among patients with NSCLC. Specifically, a moderate BMI decrease [0.5-2.0; HR = 2.45; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.25-2.67] and large BMI decrease (≥2.0; HR = 4.65; 95% CI, 4.15-5.20) were strongly associated with worse OS, whereas moderate weight gain (0.5-2.0) reduced the risk for mortality (HR = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.68-0.89) and large weight gain (≥2.0) slightly increased the risk of mortality without reaching statistical significance (HR = 1.10; 95% CI, 0.86-1.42). MR analyses supported the potential causal roles of postdiagnosis BMI change in survival.

Conclusions: This study indicates that BMI change after diagnosis was associated with mortality risk.

Impact: Our findings, which reinforce the importance of postdiagnosis BMI surveillance, suggest that weight loss or large weight gain may be unwarranted.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no potential conflicts of interest

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Associations between post-diagnosis BMI change (% per month) and OS based on penalized smoothing spline (A) in 7547 NSCLC patients and (B) stratified by at-diagnosis BMI. The reference value (HR = 1) was set at change equals to 0. Time-dependent Cox proportional model with the change of BMI (% per month) as a time-dependent covariate and adjusted the sex, age at diagnosis, race, year of diagnosis, smoking history, stage, and histological type, at-diagnosis BMI and treatment status.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Associations between post-diagnosis BMI change and OS in subsets of patients. (A) BMI decrease vs. stable (B) BMI increase vs. stable The squares represent the size of each subgroup and are centered on the HR. The whiskers represent the 95% CIs.
Figure 3.
Figure 3.
SNP-exposure (post-diagnosis BMI change) and SNP-outcome (NSCLC survival) coefficients used in the MR analysis with 3 SNPs as instrument variables. The line represents the inverse-variance-weighted estimate.

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