Accuracy of a modified 4Ts score in predicting heparin-induced thrombocytopenia in critically ill patients: A pilot study

Abstract

Purpose: Thrombocytopenia is common among critically ill patients and heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT) is often on the differential. Professional guidelines recommend calculating a pre-test probability score before performing HIT testing. The 4Ts score is widely utilized but accuracy has been questioned in critically ill patients. The HIT Expert Probability (HEP) score is available, but complexity limits use. Our objective was to compare a modified intensive care unit (ICU)-4Ts score to available scoring tools.

Materials and methods: This was a single-center retrospective pilot study. Adult ICU patients that were tested for HIT and had a documented 4Ts score were included. A blinded investigator retrospectively calculated the HEP and ICU-4Ts score. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were compared.

Results: In 194 included patients, ROC AUC was significantly higher for the ICU-4Ts compared to the 4Ts score (0.80 versus 0.66, respectively; p = 0.044). The ICU-4Ts score had the highest specificity, PPV, and NPV. The sensitivity was similar between the HEP and ICU-4Ts score.

Conclusions: The ICU-4Ts score better predicted the diagnosis of HIT compared to the 4Ts score. Prospective validation studies are needed to confirm these results.

Keywords: Critical illness; Heparin; Predictive value of tests; Sensitivity and specificity; Thrombocytopenia.