Association Between Sex and Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Outcomes for Patients With Melanoma

Abstract

Importance: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized melanoma treatment and are now standard of care. Although sex is associated with immune function and immune-related diseases, the interaction between sex and ICIs is understudied.

Objective: To examine whether cancer immunotherapy effectiveness varies between female and male patients with advanced melanoma treated with either nivolumab plus ipilimumab combination therapy or anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) therapy (namely, pembrolizumab or nivolumab).

Design, setting, and participants: The study population consisted of 1369 older adults (aged ≥65 years) with a record of melanoma diagnosis from January 1, 1991, to December 31, 2015, in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked database. Patients with a diagnosis of stage III or stage IV melanoma and a claims record showing nivolumab plus ipilimumab combination therapy or anti-PD-1 therapy (ie, pembrolizumab or nivolumab) as their last type of ICI prescribed were included in the analyses. Patients were followed up through December 31, 2017, for the overall survival analysis. Statistical analysis was performed from September 19, 2019, to February 20, 2021.

Exposures: Sex, last prescribed ICI, and prior use of ipilimumab.

Main outcomes and measures: The primary outcome was overall survival, defined as time from the index date until death from any cause, with patients censored at the end of the study (December 31, 2017). Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was used to examine the association of sex with ICI outcomes while adjusting for prior use of ipilimumab, age at ICI initiation, Charlson Comorbidity Index, cancer stage at the time of diagnosis, and autoimmune disease diagnosis.

Results: Among the 1369 patients in the study (982 men [71.7%]; median age, 75 years [IQR, 69-82 years]), the outcome of nivolumab plus ipilimumab combination therapy depended on sex (Wald χ2 = 9.48; P = .009 for interaction). The mortality hazard ratio (HR) for women with prior ipilimumab use receiving combination therapy was 2.06 times (95% CI, 1.28-3.32; P = .003) higher than their male counterparts. No significant difference was observed between women and men receiving anti-PD-1 therapy with (HR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.68-1.38]; P = .85) or without prior ipilimumab use (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.67-1.07]; P = .16). For women with prior ipilimumab use, combination therapy was associated with 2.82 times higher mortality hazards than anti-PD-1 therapy (95% CI, 1.73-4.60). No statistically significant difference was seen in mortality risk between anti-PD-1 therapy and combination therapy for men.

Conclusions and relevance: This cohort study suggests that female patients with advanced melanoma may not benefit as much from combination ICIs as male patients would. Tumor mutation burden or estrogen level may serve as an important biomarker associated with ICI response in metastatic melanoma.

Figure 1.. Breakdown of Patient Cohort

PD-1 indicates programmed cell death protein 1.

Figure 2.. Overall Survival for Patients Receiving Nivolumab Plus Ipilimumab Combination Therapy, by Sex

Median survival was reached for female patients receiving combination therapy (10.2 months [95% CI, 4.6-23.9 months]), while more than 50% of male patients receiving combination therapy survived by the end of the study period (75 of 125 [60.0%]).