A longitudinal population-based study of predictors of mortality from bloodstream infections in Calgary, Alberta, Canada

Abstract

Aim: To study the predictors of mortality from nine major pathogens causing approximately 70% of cases over a 7-year period. Materials & methods: A population-based surveillance cohort of all adult and pediatric patients in the Calgary Zone with an initial episode of bloodstream infections (BSI). Results: The 1-year mortality was 29.2% among 9524 patients (5164 males [54%]). Incidence rates for BSI increased annually to 119.7/100,000 persons by 2016. Distinct survival curves were found for each specific pathogen. Age, comorbidity burden and infecting organism were significantly associated with increased hazard of death. No relationship occurred between the time to positivity for blood cultures and overall mortality. Conclusion: BSI has a high mortality, but overall survival depends on underlying host health and the type of pathogen acquired.

Keywords: bloodstream infections; mortality; pathogen; population based; predictors; time to positivity.