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. 2021 Jul 22;10(6):629-640.
doi: 10.1159/000517393. eCollection 2021 Nov.

Redefining Tumor Burden in Patients with Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: The Seven-Eleven Criteria

Affiliations

Redefining Tumor Burden in Patients with Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: The Seven-Eleven Criteria

Ya-Wen Hung et al. Liver Cancer. .

Abstract

Background and aims: For patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the definition of high tumor burden remains controversial. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of different criteria of tumor burden in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods: From 2007 to 2019, 632 treatment-naive patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE were retrospectively enrolled. We compared different criteria of tumor burden in discriminating radiologic response and survival, including up-to-7, up-to-11, 5-7, 7 lesions criteria, and newly proposed 7-11 criteria.

Results: The proportions of patients classified as high tumor burden were varied by different criteria. Among the 5 criteria, 7-11 criteria have the best performance to discriminate complete response (CR) and overall survival (OS) after TACE. In patients with low, intermediate, and high tumor burden classified by 7-11 criteria, the CR rate was 21, 12, and 2.5%, respectively (p < 0.001), and the median OS was 33.1, 22.3, and 11.9 months, respectively (p < 0.001). By multivariate analysis, 7-11 criteria were significantly associated with CR (intermediate vs. high burden, odds ratio = 4.617, p = 0.002; low vs. high burden, odds ratio = 8.675, p < 0.001) and OS (intermediate vs. high burden, hazard ratio = 0.650, p < 0.001; low vs. high burden, hazard ratio = 0.520, p < 0.001). Seven to 11 criteria also had the lowest corrected Akaike information criteria, highest homogeneity value, and highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year mortality among all criteria.

Conclusion: Conventional definitions of tumor burden were not optimal for patients with intermediate HCC. The new 7-11 criteria had the best discriminative power in predicting radiologic response and survival in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE.

Keywords: Hepatocellular carcinoma; Transarterial chemoembolization; Tumor burden.

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Conflict of interest statement

Y.-H.H. has received research grants from Gilead Sciences and Bristol-Meyers Squibb and honoraria from Abbvie, Gilead Sciences, Bristol-Meyers Squibb, Ono Pharmaceutical, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Eisai, Eli Lilly, Ipsen, and Roche and has served in an advisory role for Abbvie, Gilead Sciences, Bristol-Meyers Squibb, Ono Pharmaceuticals, Eisai, Eli Lilly, Ipsen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, and Roche. Other authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Comparison of different criteria of high tumor burden and distribution of radiologic response after TACE. a Up-to-7 criteria. b Up-to-11 criteria. c 5–7 criteria. d Seven lesions criteria. e 7–11 criteria. CR, complete response; PR, partial response; SD, stable disease; PD, progressive disease; TACE, transarterial chemoembolization.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Kaplan-Meier curves of RFS after complete response and OS of HCC patients undergoing TACE. a RFS stratified by 7–11 criteria. b OS stratified by 7–11 criteria. HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; TACE, transarterial chemoembolization; OS, overall survival; RFS, recurrence-free survival.

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