Classic Thrombophilias and Thrombotic Risk Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Abstract

Background Five classic thrombophilias have been recognized: factor V Leiden (rs6025), the prothrombin G20210A variant (rs1799963), and protein C, protein S, and antithrombin deficiencies. This study aimed to determine the thrombotic risk of classic thrombophilias in a cohort of middle-aged and older adults. Methods and Results Factor V Leiden, prothrombin G20210A and protein-coding variants in the PROC (protein C), PROS1 (protein S), and SERPINC1 (antithrombin) anticoagulant genes were determined in 29 387 subjects (born 1923-1950, 60% women) who participated in the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (1991-1996). The Human Gene Mutation Database was used to define 68 disease-causing mutations. Patients were followed up from baseline until the first event of venous thromboembolism (VTE), death, or Dec 31, 2018. Carriership (n=908, 3.1%) for disease-causing mutations in the PROC, PROS1, and SERPINC1 genes was associated with incident VTE: Hazard ratio (HR) was 1.6 (95% CI, 1.3-1.9). Variants not in Human Gene Mutation Database were not linked to VTE (HR, 1.1; 95% CI, 0.8-1.5). Heterozygosity for rs6025 and rs1799963 was associated with incident VTE: HR, 1.8 (95% CI, 1.6-2.0) and HR, 1.6 (95% CI, 1.3-2.0), respectively. The HR for carrying 1 classical thrombophilia variant was 1.7 (95% CI, 1.6-1.9). HR was 3.9 (95% CI, 3.1-5.0) for carriers of ≥2 thrombophilia variants. Conclusions The 5 classic thrombophilias are associated with a dose-graded risk of VTE in middle-aged and older adults. Disease-causing variants in the PROC, PROS1, and SERPINC1 genes were more common than the rs1799963 variant but the conferred genetic risk was comparable with the rs6025 and rs1799963 variants.

Keywords: epidemiology; genetics; natural anticoagulants; thrombophilia; venous thromboembolism.

Figure 1. Kaplan‒Meier survival curves showing the proportion of the population remaining free from an venous thromboembolism event stratified on number of factor V Leiden alleles (A), number of rs1799963 alleles (B), number of high‐risk variants in SERPINC1, PROC, or PROS1 (C) and number of any thrombophilic variants (D).

The log‐rank test for curve comparisons, was highly significant for all A through D panels (P<0.0001). VTE indicates venous thromboembolism.