Disease severity of the first COVID-19 wave in Germany using reporting data from the national notification system

Abstract

As of December 31, 2019, initial reports circulated internationally of an unusual cluster of pneumonia of unknown cause in China. By the end of January 2020, the virus affected Germany with the first case confirmed on January 27, 2020. Intensive contact tracing and infection control measures contained the first two clusters in the country. However, the dynamic of the first wave gained momentum as of March, and by mid-June 2020 over 190,000 laboratory-confirmed cases had been reported to the Robert Koch Institute. This article examines these cases as part of a retrospective descriptive analysis focused on disease severity. Most cases (80%) were mild and two thirds of the cases were younger than 60 years (median age: 50 years). Severe cases were primarily reported among men aged 60 or over who had at least one risk factor (particularly cardiovascular disease, diabetes, neurological disorders and/or lung diseases). Cases between the ages of 40 and 59 years had the longest interval between symptom onset and hospitalisation (median: six days) and - if admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) - also the longest ICU stay (median: eleven days). This analysis provides valuable information about disease severity of COVID-19 and particularly affected groups.

Keywords: COVID-19; FIRST WAVE; GERMANY; NATIONAL NOTIFICATION SYSTEM; PANDEMIC; SEVERITY OF DISEASE.

Figure 1

Number of reported COVID-19 cases in Germany by age group and median age over time, up to reporting week 20 (n=152,984) Source: COVID-19 cases reported to the RKI (data as of 26 October 2020, 00:00)