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. 2022 Feb 1:35:10205.
doi: 10.3389/ti.2022.10205. eCollection 2022.

Temporal Reduction in COVID-19-Associated Fatality Among Kidney Transplant Recipients: The Brazilian COVID-19 Registry Cohort Study

Affiliations

Temporal Reduction in COVID-19-Associated Fatality Among Kidney Transplant Recipients: The Brazilian COVID-19 Registry Cohort Study

Tainá Veras de Sandes-Freitas et al. Transpl Int. .

Abstract

Data from the general population suggest that fatality rates declined during the course of the pandemic. This analysis, using data extracted from the Brazilian Kidney Transplant COVID-19 Registry, seeks to determine fatality rates over time since the index case on March 3rd, 2020. Data from hospitalized patients with RT-PCR positive SARS-CoV-2 infection from March to August 2020 (35 sites, 878 patients) were compared using trend tests according to quartiles (Q1: <72 days; Q2: 72-104 days; Q3: 105-140 days; Q4: >140 days after the index case). The 28-day fatality decreased from 29.5% (Q1) to 18.8% (Q4) (pfor-trend = 0.004). In multivariable analysis, patients diagnosed in Q4 showed a 35% reduced risk of death. The trend of reducing fatality was associated with a lower number of comorbidities (20.7-10.6%, p for-trend = 0.002), younger age (55-53 years, pfor-trend = 0.062), and better baseline renal function (43.6-47.7 ml/min/1.73 m2, pfor-trend = 0.060), and were confirmed by multivariable analysis. The proportion of patients presenting dyspnea (pfor-trend = 0.001) and hypoxemia (pfor-trend < 0.001) at diagnosis, and requiring intensive care was also found reduced (pfor-trend = 0.038). Despite possible confounding variables and time-dependent sampling differences, we conclude that COVID-19-associated fatality decreased over time. Differences in demographics, clinical presentation, and treatment options might be involved.

Keywords: Covid-19; Sars-CoV-2; coronavirus; kidney transplant; renal transplantation.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Distribution of COVID-19 diagnosed transplant patients after the index case, on March 3rd, 2020, according to quartiles.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Main signs and symptoms at COVID-19 diagnosis across the quartiles. Trend analyses were performed using Cochran–Armitage test and Jonckheere-Terpstra test.
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 3
Management of immunosuppressive drugs (A) and pharmacological treatments (B) across the quartiles. Legend: IS, immunosuppressive drugs; CNI, calcineurin inhibitor; ATB, antibiotics; AZI, azithromycin; ST, steroids. Trend analyses were performed using Cochran–Armitage test #Therapeutic-dose anticoagulants was empirically used for critically il patients with high d-dimer values, regardless of thrombosis events.
FIGURE 4
FIGURE 4
Cumulative incidence of deaths of SARS-CoV-2-infected kidney transplant patients within 28 days. (A) and 28-day fatality rates (B) across the quartiles.
FIGURE 5
FIGURE 5
Outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection in kidney transplant patients across the quartiles (A–C) and fatality rates (D). Legend: AKI, acute kidney injury; ICU, intensive care unit; MV, mechanical ventilation. Trend analyses were performed using Cochran–Armitage test.

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