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. 2022 Feb 18;10(2):329.
doi: 10.3390/vaccines10020329.

Is Mandatory Vaccination in Population over 60 Adequate to Control the COVID-19 Pandemic in E.U.?

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Is Mandatory Vaccination in Population over 60 Adequate to Control the COVID-19 Pandemic in E.U.?

Nikolaos P Rachaniotis et al. Vaccines (Basel). .

Abstract

Vaccine hesitancy, which potentially leads to the refusal or delayed acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines, is considered a key driver of the increasing death toll from the pandemic in the EU. The European Commission and several member states' governments are either planning or have already directly or indirectly announced mandatory vaccination for individuals aged over 60, the group which has repeatedly proved to be the most vulnerable. In this paper, an assessment of this strategy's benefits is attempted by deriving a metric for the potential gains of vaccination mandates that can be used to compare EU member states. This is completed by examining the reduction in Standard Expected Years of Life Lost (SEYLL) per person for the EU population over 60 as a function of the member states' vaccination percentage in these ages. The publicly available data and results of the second iteration of the SHARE COVID-19 survey on the acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines, conducted during the summer of 2021, are used as inputs.

Keywords: COVID-19; SEYLL; mandatory vaccination.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
SHARE COVID-19 survey vaccination status for the 60+ sample.
Figure 2
Figure 2
SEYLLd (in years) for the 27 EU countries.
Figure 3
Figure 3
SEYLLp (in days) for the population over 60 in the 27 EU countries from 25 May 2021 to 25 November 2021 vs. their percentage vaccination coverage.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Differences between the 27 EU countries’ SEYLLp for the 60+ population by 25 November 2021, and their estimated respective values in the case of a mandatory vaccination using SHARE COVID-19 upper vaccination limits.

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