The ADA (Age-D-Dimer-Albumin) Score to Predict Thrombosis in SARS-CoV-2

Abstract

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2)-related pneumonia is associated with venous and arterial thrombosis. Aim of the study was to find out a new score for predicting thrombosis in patients with SARS-CoV-2.

Methods: We included a cohort of 674 patients affected by SARS-CoV-2, not requiring intensive care units, and followed-up during the hospitalization until discharge. Routine analyses performed at in-hospital admission included also serum albumin and D-dimer while arterial and venous thromboses were the endpoints of the study.

Results: During the follow-up, 110 thrombotic events were registered; patients with thrombotic events were older and had lower albumin and higher D-dimer, compared with thrombotic event-free ones. On multivariable logistic regression with step-by-step procedure age, serum albumin, and D-dimer were independently associated with thrombotic events. The linear combination of age, D-dimer, and albumin allowed to build-up the ADA (age-D-dimer-albumin) score, whose area under the curve (AUC) was 0.752 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.708-0.795). ADA score was internally validated by bootstrap sampling procedure giving an AUC of 0.752 (95% CI: 0.708-0.794).

Conclusion: Combination of age, D-dimer, and albumin in the ADA score allows identifying SARS-CoV-2 patients at higher risk of thrombotic events.