Exposure to Chinese Famine during Early Life Increases the Risk of Fracture during Adulthood

Abstract

This study focused on identifying whether exposure to the Chinese Great Famine (1959-1961) in early life amplified the potential for fractures in adulthood. The survey was conducted using data from the 1997-2015 China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS)-5235 adults born between 1954 and 1964 were selected as the sample size. Fracture was defined based on self-report. Those born from 1962-1964 were treated as non-exposure group. Those with exposure to famine were divided into four subgroups: Fetal, early childhood, mid-childhood, and late childhood cohorts. The association between the groups and fracture was determined using Cox regression. In follow-up data (mean of 11 years), fractures were identified in 418 of the participants. The incidence of fracture was 8.7 in late childhood, 8.1 in mid-childhood, 8.3 in early childhood, 7.0 in fetal, and 5.4 in non-exposed cohorts per 1000 person-year. Compared with the non-exposed group, the famine-exposed groups had an increased risk of developing fracture in adulthood with hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CI of 1.29 (0.90-1.85), 1.48 (1.08-2.03), 1.45 (1.02-2.06), and 1.54 (1.08-2.20), respectively. The positive link of famine exposure to risk of fracture occurred primarily in those participants with a modern diet who lived in urban areas. In conclusion, the risk of fracture in Chinese adults is associated with famine exposure.

Keywords: Chinese; adults; cohort study; famine; fracture.

Figure 1

Sample selection process (CHNS 1997–2015).

Figure 2

Kaplan–Meier survival curve of fracture by famine exposure among the participants that attended CHNS 1997–2015 (n = 5235).

Figure 3

Subgroup analyses of the association between high intake of modern dietary pattern and fracture by famine exposure cohorts. Model was adjusted for gender, smoking, education, urban/rural, income, energy intake, and area level famine severity; p for interaction 0.043.