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. 2022 May;28(5):1053-1055.
doi: 10.3201/eid2805.211757. Epub 2022 Mar 10.

Mathematical Modeling for Removing Border Entry and Quarantine Requirements for COVID-19, Vanuatu

Caroline van Gemert, Len Tarivonda, Posikai Samuel Tapo, Sereana Natuman, Geoff Clark, Joanne Mariasua, Nick Scott, Adam Craig, Myriam Abel, Matthew J Cornish, Margaret Hellard, Rachel Sacks-Davis

Mathematical Modeling for Removing Border Entry and Quarantine Requirements for COVID-19, Vanuatu

Caroline van Gemert et al. Emerg Infect Dis. 2022 May.

Abstract

The Pacific Island country of Vanuatu is considering strategies to remove border restrictions implemented during 2020 to prevent imported coronavirus disease. We performed mathematical modeling to estimate the number of infectious travelers who had different entry scenarios and testing strategies. Travel bubbles and testing on entry have the greatest importation risk reduction.

Keywords: COVID-19; Vanuatu; border entry; coronavirus disease; importation; mathematical modeling; prevention; quarantine requirements; respiratory infections; travel medicine; zoonoses.

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Figures

Figure
Figure
Number of imported cases of coronavirus disease in the community per 40,000 arrivals, by test strategy and epidemiologic scenario, Vanuatu. Error bars indicate 95% CIs.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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