Factors associated with survival in older patients with stage I-III colorectal carcinoma who were not managed curatively in the Netherlands

Abstract

Aim: Some patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer (CRC) do not undergo tumor resection. Little is known about survival of these non-curatively managed patients. The aim of this study is to report all-cause mortality and to identify which factors are associated with survival in these patients.

Methods: A retrospective review of electronic medical records was performed in two hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients diagnosed with CRC without distant metastases (radiologically determined stage I-III) and managed without tumor resection between 2011 and 2017 were included. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The effect of several variables on survival was evaluated with a multivariate logistic regression.

Results: Of the 107 patients with stage I-III CRC that did not undergo resection of the primary tumor, 80% died within two years; median survival time was 8.5 months (IQR 2.5-22 months). Malnutrition risk (OR 6.36 (CI 1.21-33.25); p = 0.03) and comorbidity burden (OR 1.51 (CI 1.05-2.18 p = 0.03) were significantly associated with decreased survival after two years in a multivariate model. Age and disease stage were not. When treatment decision was mainly patient driven instead of based on the multi-disciplinary tumor board's decision, survival was longer (mean overall survival 16 months vs 10 months, respectively) p < 0.05.

Conclusion: Survival of patients with radiologically determined stage I-III CRC who did not undergo surgical resection was approximately 20% at two years and associated with the number of comorbidities, malnutrition risk status and dependent living, but not with age or disease stage.

Keywords: Abdominal surgery; Colorectal Cancer; Decision making; Geriatric assessment; Palliative care; Survival.