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. 2022 Mar 1;5(3):e223418.
doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.3418.

Forecasted and Observed Drug Overdose Deaths in the US During the COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020

Abigail R Cartus  1 , Yu Li  1 , Alexandria Macmadu  1 , William C Goedel  1 , Bennett Allen  2   3 , Magdalena Cerdá  2   3 , Brandon D L Marshall  1
Affiliations

Forecasted and Observed Drug Overdose Deaths in the US During the COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020

Abigail R Cartus et al. JAMA Netw Open. .

Abstract

This cross-sectional study uses data from the National Vital Statistics System to compare forecasted numbers of drug overdose deaths in the US in the latter 43 weeks of 2020 with the observed number of overdose deaths in that period.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Ms Macmadu reported receiving grants from the National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), National Institutes of Health (NIH) during the conduct of the study. Mr Allen reported receiving a grant from the NIDA, NIH during the conduct of the study. No other disclosures were reported.

Figures

Figure.
Figure.. Observed and Forecasted Weekly Model-Based Provisional Estimates of Drug Overdose Deaths in the US From 2016 to 2020
Data from Connecticut and North Carolina were excluded from the analysis. The vertical dashed line indicates the beginning of the forecast.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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References

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