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Effectiveness of mRNA Vaccination in Preventing COVID-19-Associated Invasive Mechanical Ventilation and Death - United States, March 2021-January 2022

Mark W Tenforde et al. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. .

Abstract

COVID-19 mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech] and mRNA-1273 [Moderna]) are effective at preventing COVID-19-associated hospitalization (1-3). However, how well mRNA vaccines protect against the most severe outcomes of these hospitalizations, including invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death is uncertain. Using a case-control design, mRNA vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19-associated IMV and in-hospital death was evaluated among adults aged ≥18 years hospitalized at 21 U.S. medical centers during March 11, 2021-January 24, 2022. During this period, the most commonly circulating variants of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, were B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.617.2 (Delta), and B.1.1.529 (Omicron). Previous vaccination (2 or 3 versus 0 vaccine doses before illness onset) in prospectively enrolled COVID-19 case-patients who received IMV or died within 28 days of hospitalization was compared with that among hospitalized control patients without COVID-19. Among 1,440 COVID-19 case-patients who received IMV or died, 307 (21%) had received 2 or 3 vaccine doses before illness onset. Among 6,104 control-patients, 4,020 (66%) had received 2 or 3 vaccine doses. Among the 1,440 case-patients who received IMV or died, those who were vaccinated were older (median age = 69 years), more likely to be immunocompromised* (40%), and had more chronic medical conditions compared with unvaccinated case-patients (median age = 55 years; immunocompromised = 10%; p<0.001 for both). VE against IMV or in-hospital death was 90% (95% CI = 88%-91%) overall, including 88% (95% CI = 86%-90%) for 2 doses and 94% (95% CI = 91%-96%) for 3 doses, and 94% (95% CI = 88%-97%) for 3 doses during the Omicron-predominant period. COVID-19 mRNA vaccines are highly effective in preventing COVID-19-associated death and respiratory failure treated with IMV. CDC recommends that all persons eligible for vaccination get vaccinated and stay up to date with COVID-19 vaccination (4).

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Conflict of interest statement

All authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. Samuel M. Brown reports personal fees from Hamilton ventilators, and grants from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). Jonathan D. Casey reports grants from the NIH and DoD. Steven Y. Chang was a speaker for La Jolla Pharmaceuticals in 2018, consulted for PureTech Health in 2020, and consulted for Kiniska Pharmaceuticals in December 2021. David J. Douin reports a grant from NIH/National Institute of General Medical Sciences. Abhijit Duggal reports grants from NIH and participation on a Steering Committee for ALung Technologies. Matthew C. Exline reports support from Abbott Labs for sponsored talks. D. Clark Files reports personal consultant fees from Cytovale and membership on a data and safety monitoring board (DSMB) from Medpace. Anne E. Frosch reports grants from NIH/National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), NIH/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI), and NIH/INSIGHT/ICC. Manjusha Gaglani reports grants from Abt Associates, Westat, and Janssen. Adit A. Ginde reports grants from NIH, DoD, AbbVie, and Faron Pharmaceuticals. Michelle N. Gong reports grants from NIH and the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), and DSMB membership fees from Regeneron, outside the submitted work. Carlos G. Grijalva reports consultancy fees from Pfizer, Merck, and Sanofi-Pasteur; grants from Campbell Alliance/Syneos Health, NIH, the Food and Drug Administration, AHRQ, and Sanofi. David N. Hager reports grants from NIH/NHLBI. Natasha Halasa reports grants and nonfinancial support from Sanofi, and grants from Quidel and NIH. Nicholas J. Johnson reports grants from NIH, DoD, and Medic One Foundation. Akram Khan reports grants from United Therapeutics, Johnson & Johnson, and Eli Lilly. Jennie H. Kwon reports grants from NIH/NIAID. Adam S. Lauring reports personal fees from Sanofi and Roche, and grants from NIH and Burroughs Wellcome Fund. Christopher J. Lindsell reports grants from NIH, DoD, and the Marcus Foundation; contract fees from bioMerieux, Endpoint Health, Entegrion Inc, and AbbVie; and a patent for risk stratification in sepsis and septic shock. Emily T. Martin reports grants from Merck. Arnold S. Monto reports a grant from NIH. Ithan D. Peltan reports grants from NIH, Janssen Pharmaceuticals, and Intermountain Research and Medical Foundation, and institutional support from Asahi Kasei Pharma and Regeneron. Todd W. Rice reports grants from NIH, DoD, and AbbVie and personal fees from Cumberland Pharmaceuticals, Inc., and Cytovale, Inc. No other potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

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