A Human Resource Demand Forecasting Method Based on Improved BP Algorithm

Abstract

Human resources are the first resource for enterprise development, and a reasonable human resource structure will increase the effectiveness of an enterprise's human resource input and output. The reality is that even if an enterprise designs a human resource allocation plan in accordance with the corporate strategy, it is impossible for the enterprise to operate in full accordance with the plan during the operation process, so the human resource allocation plan only reflects the law of the enterprise's human resource needs during the enterprise development process. Giving effective guidance to the specific work of human resources is difficult. It is impossible to carry out effective human resources structure adjustment to adapt to changes in human resources demand due to changes in corporate tactics, business, scale, and other factors, especially when the current domestic human resources market has not yet fully formed. This paper examines the impact of key factors such as the company's business growth scale and production efficiency improvement on human resource needs with the goal of improving team structure, optimizing staff allocation, controlling labor costs, and improving efficiency and benefits. In this paper, we attempt to develop a human resource demand forecasting model based on business development and economic benefits and guided by intensive human resource development. We analyze and forecast the enterprise's total human resource employment, personnel structure, and quality structure using this model. In light of this, this paper employs an improved BP neural network to construct a human resource demand forecasting system, resulting in a new quantitative forecasting method for human resource demand forecasting with strong theoretical significance. Simultaneously, the human resource demand forecasting system developed can enable enterprises to carry out personnel demand forecasting from the actual situation, making forecasting more applicable, flexible, and accurate, allowing enterprises to realize their strategies through reasonable human resource planning.

Figure 1

Improved BP neural network structure.

Figure 2

The improved BP neural network prediction flowchart.

Figure 3

Prediction results of the total output value of enterprises.

Figure 4

Economic benefit forecast results.

Figure 5

Prediction results of the total number of employees in the enterprise.

Figure 6

Prediction results of turnover ratio.

Figure 7

Predicted results of the proportion of managers.

Figure 8

Prediction results of the proportion of scientific researchers.