Prospective evolution of cardiac arrhythmia care: 2030 vision

Abstract

Cardiovascular diseases, which are the leading global cause of death, should increase by 40% by 2030, reaching close to 24 million deaths worldwide. Atrial fibrillation is the most common heart rhythm disorder, ahead of conduction disturbances and ventricular arrhythmias. Studies estimate that 7.6 million people aged>65 years in the European Union had atrial fibrillation in 2016, and this figure is predicted to increase by 89% to 14.4 million by 2060. Recent innovations in cardiac arrhythmia care, such as cardiac device miniaturization and smart devices, might revolutionize the future of patient care. Yet, the level of adoption of these breakthroughs will depend on their acceptability by patients and healthcare professionals, and on the pace of transformation of the French healthcare system (encouraged by "Ma Santé 2022"). In this article, we detail the major trends that could impact patients with heart rhythm disorders and their healthcare professionals by 2030. Eight major trends and their associated effects on patient care and healthcare professionals' practices were discussed: technical evolution of cardiac devices; digitalization of the healthcare system, and telecardiology; the rise of smart devices; the rise of "big data" and artificial intelligence; patient empowerment; evolution of healthcare; healthcare transformation with "Ma Santé 2022"; and new funding models. These "multidimensional" changes give us room in this study to outline two scenarios for the evolution of care of patients with heart rhythm disorders in the near future.

Keywords: Arrhythmia; Artificial intelligence; Arythmie; Dispositifs médicaux connectés; French healthcare system; Intelligence artificielle; Patient empowerment; Smart medical device; Système de santé français.