Outcomes Following Norwood Procedures: Analysis of a "Small Volume" Program

Abstract

Background: Institutional survival following Norwood procedures is traditionally correlated with a center's surgical volume. Multiple single and multi-institutional studies conducted at large-volume centers have recently demonstrated improved survival following Norwood procedures. We report both short- and long-term outcomes at a single, small-volume institution and comment on factors potentially influencing outcomes at this institution.

Methods: All patients undergoing Norwood procedures from January 1, 2005, to January 1, 2020, at our institution were included in this study. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression risk factor analyses were performed in addition to first interstage risk factor scoring to compare observed versus expected survival.

Results: The cohort included 113 patients. Kaplan-Meier freedom from death or transplant was 88%, 80%, and 76% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Freedom from death following hospital discharge after Norwood procedures was 94%, 87%, and 83% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. The presence of genetic syndromes was a significant risk factor for mortality. First interstage observed-to-expected mortality following discharge was 0.57 (P = .04). Postoperative length of stay was comparable to that reported for the period 2015 to 2018 in the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Database.

Conclusions: Survival outcomes at this single, small-volume institution were similar to those reported by large-volume centers and multi-institutional collaborative studies. These results may be related to structural and functional features that have been demonstrated to influence outcomes in other studies. These factors are achievable by small-volume programs with sufficient resource allocation.

Keywords: Norwood procedure; congenital heart disease; congenital heart surgery; hypoplastic left heart syndrome; risk analysis/modeling; statistics; survival analysis.