Comparison of elevated cardiac troponin I with SAPS-II and APACHE-II score in predicting outcome of severe intoxications

Abstract

Background and aims: To date, different methods have been invented to risk-stratify critically ill patients, however, there is a paucity of information regarding assessing the severity of poisonings. This study was designed to determine the comparative efficacy of Simplified Acute Physiology Score-II (SAPS-II) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-II (APACHE-II)score with cardiac troponin I (cTnI) in predicting severe intoxication outcomes.

Methods: This was a prospective study conducted on patients who fulfilled defined severe intoxication criteria necessitating intensive care unit (ICU) admission over a period of 6 months. SAPS-II and APACHE-II scores were calculated and cTnI concentrations were measured. These indicators were compared to determine which has the better ability to prognosticate mortality and complications.

Results: A total of 55 cases (median age, 35 [24-49] years) were enroled. Eight patients (14.5%) died. Mean SAPS-II, median APACHE-II score and median cTnI concentrations were 32.05 ± 11.24, 13 [10-17] and 0.008 [0.002-0.300] ng/ml, respectively, which were significantly different between the survivors and non-survivors. Receiver operating characteristics curve results of SAPS-II, APACHE-II score and cTnI concentrations in predicting mortality were 0.945, 0.932 and 0.763 and in predicting complications were 0.779, 0.739 and 0.727, respectively. High cTnI concentration (>0.37 ng/ml) correlated with soft clinical outcomes, including length of ventilatory support, length of ICU stay and length of hospital stay (LOS) (r: 0.928, 0.881 and 0.735 respectively; all P < 0.001).

Conclusion: SAPS-II scores were superior in predicting death and complications, while cTnI correlated more closely with soft clinical outcomes, such as the length of ventilator support, length of ICU stay or LOS.

Keywords: APACHE; mortality; poisoning; simplified acute physiology score; troponin.

Figure 1

(a and b). ROC curves of SAPS-II, APACHE-II and troponin level in prediction of mortality and complications. (ROC: Receiver Operating Curve, AUC: Area Under the Curve, SAPS: Simplified Acute Physiology Score, APACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation, SE: Standard Error)