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Meta-Analysis
. 2022 Jul 9;35(2):ivac164.
doi: 10.1093/icvts/ivac164.

The impact of coronary artery bypass grafting added to aortic valve replacement on long-term outcomes in octogenarian patients: a reconstructed time-to-event meta-analysis

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

The impact of coronary artery bypass grafting added to aortic valve replacement on long-term outcomes in octogenarian patients: a reconstructed time-to-event meta-analysis

Alan Gallingani et al. Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg. .

Abstract

The long-term results in studies comparing octogenarian patients who received either isolated surgical aortic valve replacement (i-SAVR) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in addition to SAVR are still debated. We performed a reconstructed time-to-event data meta-analysis of studies comparing i-SAVR and CABG+SAVR to evaluate the impact of CABG and to analyse the time-varying effects on long-term outcome. We performed a systematic review of the literature from January 2000 through November 2021, including studies comparing i-SAVR and CABG+SAVR, which reported at least 3-year follow-up and that plotted Kaplan-Meier curves of overall survival. The primary endpoint was overall long-term survival; secondary endpoints were in-hospital/30-day mortality and postoperative outcomes. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) and odds ratio) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for primary and secondary endpoints, respectively. Random-effect model was used in all analyses. Sixteen retrospective studies were included (5382 patients, i-SAVR = 2568 and CABG+SAVR = 2814). I-SAVR showed a lower incidence of in-hospital mortality compared to CABG+SAVR (odds ratio = 0.73; 95% CI= 0.60-0.89; P = 0.002). Landmark analyses showed a significantly higher all-cause mortality within 1 year from surgery in CABG+SAVR (HR = 1.17; 95% CI = 1.01-1.36; P = 0.03); after 1 year, no significant difference was observed (HR = 0.95; 95% CI = 0.87-1.04; P = 0.35). Landmark analysis was confirmed by time-varying trend of HR. Late survival of octogenarians did not differ significantly between the 2 interventions. Interestingly, CABG added to SAVR was associated with both higher in-hospital and within 1-year mortality after surgery, whereas this difference was statistically non-significant at long-term follow-up.

Keywords: Coronary artery bypass grafting; Meta-analisys; Octogenarians; Surgical aortic valve replacement.

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Figures

Figure 1:
Figure 1:
Pooled reconstructed Kaplan–Meier survival curves for long-term survival. Non-difference was reported between the 2 interventions. CABG: coronary artery bypass grafting; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio; i-SAVR: isolated surgical aortic valve replacement.
Figure 2:
Figure 2:
(A) Kaplan–Meier of failure function of the pooled all-cause mortality. (B) Landmark analysis of all-cause mortality. CABG: coronary artery bypass grafting; HR: hazard ratio; i-SAVR: isolated surgical aortic valve replacement.
Figure 3:
Figure 3:
Hazard ratio trend over time for all-cause mortality estimated by fully parametric survival models. CABG: coronary artery bypass grafting; CI: confidence interval; HR: hazard ratio; i-SAVR: isolated surgical aortic valve replacement.
Figure 4:
Figure 4:
(A) Forest plot for early mortality. Isolated aortic valve replacement (i-SAVR) was associated with lower early mortality compared to coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG)+SAVR. I2, 0.87% indicates no evidence of heterogeneity. CABG: coronary artery bypass grafting; CI: confidence interval; i-SAVR: isolated surgical aortic valve replacement; OR: odd ratio; Sig: P-value; W: weight. (B) Funnel plot to assess publication bias. No publication bias was reported related to early mortality.
None

Comment in

References

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