TG/HDL-C ratio as a predictor of stroke in the population with healthy BMI: The Jichi Medical School Cohort Study

Abstract

Background and aims: The triglycerides-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) is a predictor of metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease onset. However, the relationship between TG/HDL-C and stroke has not been established. This study examined whether TG/HDL-C helps in predicting stroke onset; this was compared between the whole population and healthy body mass index (BMI) population.

Methods and results: The Jichi Medical School Cohort Study is a prospective cohort study involving baseline data collected in 12 Japanese districts between April 1992 and July 1995. We used data from 11,699 participants; participants with a healthy BMI (20.0-24.9 kg/m²) were grouped into sex-specific TG/HDL-C quartiles. Using the first quartile groups as references, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the Cox proportional hazards model were calculated. During the mean 10.8 years of follow-up, 419 new stroke events were recorded. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) in the fourth quartile of the whole population were 1.28 (0.94-1.75), 1.78 (0.91-3.48), 1.20 (0.82-1.77), and 1.13 (0.50-2.54), as compared to those in the fourth quartile of the healthy BMI population, which were 1.87 (1.24-2.83), 3.06 (1.21-7.74), 1.79 (1.05-3.05), and 1.29 (0.49-3.41) for all patients with all stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral infarction, and subarachnoid hemorrhage, respectively.

Conclusion: Increased TG/HDL-C correlated with a significant increase in stroke risk only in the healthy BMI population and not the whole population. Furthermore, it was primarily associated with increased intracerebral hemorrhage and cerebral infarction risk.

Keywords: Cohort study; High-density lipoprotein cholesterol; Japanese population; Proportional hazards model; Risk factor; Stroke; Triglyceride.