Risk Factors of Recurrent Infection in Patients with Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia: a Competing Risk Analysis

Abstract

Although several clinical variables have been reported as risk factors for recurrence of Staphylococcus aureus infection, most studies have not considered competing risk events that may overestimate the risk. In this study, we performed competing risk analysis to identify risk factors related to 90-day recurrence in patients with S. aureus bacteremia (SAB) using a large cohort data from a single tertiary hospital in South Korea. All adults who experienced SAB during admission were prospectively enrolled from August 2008 to December 2019. After the day of the first positive blood culture, recurrence and all-cause mortality were assessed for 90 days. Recurrence was defined as a development of symptoms or signs of infection with or without repeated bacteremia after >7 days of negative blood culture and clinically apparent improvement. Subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) for recurrence and all-cause mortality were estimated using Fine and Gray models. Of 1,725 SAB patients, including 885 cases (51.3%) of methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) bacteremia, 85 (5.0%) experienced recurrence during the study period. In a multivariate Fine and Gray regression model, the presence of a vascular graft (subdistribution HR [sHR], 3.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.90-6.40), nasal MRSA carriage (sHR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.28-3.44), methicillin resistance (sHR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.00-2.84), and rifampicin resistance (sHR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.12-4.33) were significantly associated with 90-day recurrence. In a large cohort of SAB patients with a high prevalence of MRSA, indwelling vascular graft, nasal MRSA carriage, methicillin resistance, and rifampicin resistance were potential risk factors for recurrence of S. aureus infection.

Keywords: Staphylococcus aureus; methicillin resistance; recurrence; rifampicin resistance.

FIG 1

Flow chart of the study population.

FIG 2

Cumulative incidence plots of recurrence and competing risk (all-cause mortality) by variable. (A) Nasal MRSA carriage. (B) The presence of a vascular graft. (C) Methicillin resistance. (D) Rifampicin resistance.