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. 2022 Nov 12;400(10364):1663-1665.
doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01277-6. Epub 2022 Jul 14.

Preparing for uncertainty: endemic paediatric viral illnesses after COVID-19 pandemic disruption

Kevin Messacar  1 , Rachel E Baker  2 , Sang Woo Park  2 , Hai Nguyen-Tran  3 , Jessica R Cataldi  4 , Bryan Grenfell  5
Affiliations

Preparing for uncertainty: endemic paediatric viral illnesses after COVID-19 pandemic disruption

Kevin Messacar et al. Lancet. .

Erratum in

  • Department of Error.
    [No authors listed] [No authors listed] Lancet. 2022 Nov 12;400(10364):1680. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01355-1. Epub 2022 Jul 18. Lancet. 2022. PMID: 35863370 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
No abstract available

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Figures

Figure
Figure
Modelling of endemic virus circulation in children following COVID-19 pandemic disruption Schemata depicts the possible trajectory of seasonal outbreaks of cases of an endemic viral illness in children pre-2020 and post-2020 following COVID-19 control period with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and alterations in societal behaviours due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Model is based on data from Baker and colleagues' study and age categorisations are illustrative. COVID-19 NPIs dampen transmission of endemic viruses leading to an immunity gap in a larger, older population of susceptible children that might change the age structure of return outbreaks.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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