In Utero and Childhood/Adolescence Exposure to Tobacco Smoke, Genetic Risk, and Lung Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Adulthood

Abstract

Rationale: The individual effects of early-life tobacco smoke exposure and its interactions with genetic factors on lung cancer in adulthood remain unclear. Objectives: To investigate the associations of early-life tobacco exposures as well as their interactions with polygenic risk scores (PRSs) with lung cancer incidence and mortality. Methods: A total of 432,831 participants from the UK Biobank study were included. We estimated the associations of in utero exposure to tobacco smoke, the age of smoking initiation and their interactions with PRSs with lung cancer incidence and mortality in adulthood using Cox proportional hazard models. Measurements and Main Results: Lung cancer incidence (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.44-1.76) increased among participants with in utero tobacco exposure. Multivariable-adjusted HRs (with 95% CIs) of lung cancer incidence for smoking initiation in adulthood, adolescence, and childhood (versus never-smokers) were 6.10 (5.25-7.09), 9.56 (8.31-11.00), and 15.15 (12.90-17.79) (P_trend < 0.001). Similar findings were observed in lung cancer mortality. Participants with high PRSs and in utero tobacco exposure (versus low PRSs participants without in utero exposure) had an HR of 2.35 for lung cancer incidence (95% CI, 1.97-2.80, P_interaction = 0.089) and 2.43 for mortality (95% CI, 2.05-2.88, P_interaction = 0.032). High PRSs with smoking initiation in childhood (versus never-smokers with low PRSs) had HRs of 18.71 for incidence (95% CI, 14.21-24.63, P_interaction = 0.004) and 19.74 for mortality (95% CI, 14.98-26.01, P_interaction = 0.033). Conclusions: In utero and childhood/adolescence exposure to tobacco smoke and its interaction with genetic factors may substantially increase the risks of lung cancer incidence and mortality in adulthood.

Keywords: early-life tobacco exposures; lung carcinoma; polygenic risk score.