Beyond coverage: Rural-urban disparities in the timeliness of childhood vaccinations in Tanzania

Abstract

Background: Timely vaccination maximizes efficacy for preventing infectious diseases. In the absence of national vaccination registries, representative sample survey data hold vital information on vaccination coverage and timeliness. This study characterizes vaccination coverage and timeliness in Tanzania and provides an analytic template to inform contextually relevant interventions and evaluate immunization programs.

Methods: Cross-sectional data on 6,092 children under age 3 from the 2015-16 Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey were used to examine coverage and timeliness for 14 vaccine doses recommended in the first year of life. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to model time to vaccination. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine factors associated with timely vaccination.

Results: Substantial rural-urban disparities in vaccination coverage and timeliness were observed for all vaccines. Across 14 recommended doses, documented coverage ranged from 52 % to 79 %. Median vaccination delays lasted up to 35 days; gaps were larger among rural than urban children and for later doses in vaccine series. Among rural children, median delays exceeded 35 days for the 3^rd doses of the polio, pentavalent, and pneumococcal vaccines. Median delays among urban children were < 21 days for all doses. Among rural and urban children, lower maternal education and delivery at home were associated with increased risk of delayed vaccination. In rural settings, less household wealth and greater distance to a health facility were also associated with increased risk of delayed vaccination.

Discussion: This study highlights persistent gaps in uptake and timeliness of childhood vaccinations in Tanzania and substantial rural-urban disparities. While the results provide an informative situation assessment and outline strategies for identifying unvaccinated children, a national electronic registry is critical for comprehensive assessments of the performance of vaccination programs. The timeliness measure employed in this study-the amount of time children are un- or undervaccinated-may serve as a sensitive performance metric for these programs.

Keywords: Childhood vaccination; Demographic and Health Survey; Rural-urban disparities; Tanzania; Vaccination coverage; Vaccination timeliness.

Figure 1.. Cumulative vaccination coverage, 2015–16 TDHS-MIS

Notes: Reverse Kaplan-Meier curves show the cumulative proportion of children vaccinated. Vertical lines mark the recommended age of vaccination for each dose. Red horizontal lines highlight the national target of 90% coverage. Survival data analyzed using weights to account for the complex sampling design of the TDHS-MIS. TDHS-MIS: Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey and Malaria Indicator Survey.