Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2022 Nov:130:103907.
doi: 10.1016/j.cities.2022.103907. Epub 2022 Aug 8.

Evolution and control of the COVID-19 pandemic: A global perspective

Yuqu Wang  1   2 , Zehong Wang  2   3 , Jieyu Wang  2 , Ming Li  2 , Shaojian Wang  2 , Xiong He  2 , Chunshan Zhou  2
Affiliations

Evolution and control of the COVID-19 pandemic: A global perspective

Yuqu Wang et al. Cities. 2022 Nov.

Abstract

We investigated the factors influencing the progression of the pandemic from a global perspective by using the Geodetector and Correlation methods and explored the pandemic response policies and effects in different countries. The results yielded three notable findings. First, empirical results show the COVID-19 pandemic is influenced by various factors, including demographic and economic parameters, international travelers, urbanization ratio, urban population, etc. Among them, the correlation between urban population and confirmed cases is strongest. Cities become the key factor affecting the COVID-19 pandemic, with high urbanization levels and population mobility increases the risk of large-scale outbreaks. Second, among control measures, School-closures, International-travel-restrictions, and Public-gathering-restriction have the best control effect on the epidemic. In addition, the combination of different types of control measures is more effective in controlling the outbreak, especially for Public-gathering-restrictions ∩ School-closures, International-travel-restrictions ∩ Workplace-closures, Public-transport-restrictions ∩ International-travel-restrictions. Third, implementing appropriate control measures in the first month of an outbreak played a critical role in future pandemic trends. Since there are few local cases in this period and the control measures have an obvious effect.

Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; Correlation analysis; Geodetector; Global; Influencing factors.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
The cumulative NCCC in various countries as of 30 June 2020.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Aguiar A., Chepeliev M., Corong E.L., et al. The gtap data base: version 10. Journal of Global Economic Analysis. 2019;4 doi: 10.21642/JGEA.040101AF. - DOI
    1. An B.Y., Tang S.-Y. Lessons From COVID-19 Responses in East Asia: Institutional Infrastructure and Enduring Policy Instruments. The American Review of Public Administration. 2020;50(6–7):790–800. doi: 10.1177/0275074020943707. - DOI
    1. Bairoliya N., Imrohoroglu A. Covid Economics. Vol. 13. 2020. Macroeconomic consequences of stay-at-home policies during the COVID-19 pandemic; pp. 71–90.https://www.marshall.usc.edu/sites/default/files/bairoliy/intellcont/mac... - PMC - PubMed
    1. Barnett E.D., Walker P.F. Role of immigrants and migrants in emerging infectious diseases. Medical Clinics of North America. 2008;92(6):1447–1458. doi: 10.1016/j.mcna.2008.07.001. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Bogoch I.I., Alexander W., Andrea T.B., et al. Pneumonia of unknown etiology in Wuhan, China: Potential for international spread via commercial air travel. Journal of Travel Medicine. 2020;27(2):1–3. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa008. - DOI - PMC - PubMed

LinkOut - more resources