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. 2022 Mar;6(1):e001376.
doi: 10.1136/bmjpo-2021-001376.

Risk calculator for advanced neonatal resuscitation

Affiliations

Risk calculator for advanced neonatal resuscitation

Edgardo Szyld et al. BMJ Paediatr Open. 2022 Mar.

Abstract

In order to predict which newborns will require advanced resuscitation (ANR), we developed an ANR risk calculator (calculator) using a bootstrap sample size of 52 973 from a case-control study of newborns ≥34 weeks gestation. Multivariable logistic regression coefficients were obtained for the 10 original risk factors and two interaction terms. The area under the receiving-operating characteristic curve predicting ANR was 0.9243. ANR prediction is improved by accounting for perinatal variables, beyond factors known prenatally. Prospective validation of this model is warranted in a clinical setting.

Keywords: Neonatology; Resuscitation.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: None declared.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
ROC curve of infants needing ANR from the multivariable logistic regression model based on the bootstrapped data set. Illustrated in the figure is a threshold value of 0.002 for the computed risk of ANR using the model that yields a sensitivity of 0.856 and a specificity of 0.751. ANR, advanced neonatal resuscitation; ROC, receiving-operating characteristic.

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