Prolonged postoperative length of stay may be a valuable marker for susceptibility to relapse beyond established risk factors in patients with stage III colon cancer

Abstract

Background: Delay from surgery to adjuvant chemotherapy causes impaired survival among patients undergoing radical resection for stage III colon cancer, and the underlying mechanism for this is incompletely clarified. It is established that prolonged postoperative hospital length of stay (LOS) is associated with delayed initiation of the adjuvant treatment driving the assumption that prolonged LOS is prognostically unfavorable due to this fact and case mix factors. We hypothesize that prolonged LOS after surgery is a valuable marker for susceptibility to relapse that is not detected in established prognostic factors and, alone, associated with a shorter disease-free survival (DFS).

Materials and methods: A total of 690 consecutive patients undergoing elective radical resection for stage III colon cancer in 2000-2015 were identified in a prospective detailed facility database. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards model in the evaluation of LOS as an independent prognostic factor.

Results: Short postoperative LOS, low comorbidity, and few complications were associated with longer DFS (p < 0.01). Fewer patients in the short and intermediate LOS groups had a relapse in their disease (28% and 33%, respectively), compared to the patients with longer LOS (40%, p < 0.05). LOS was a prognostic factor for DFS in the unadjusted univariate model (HR 1.04 per unit change) and remained statistically significant in the adjusted multivariate analysis, with a HR of 1.03 per hospital day (p < 0.01).

Conclusions: Postoperative LOS independently correlates with the risk of recurrence and DFS, regardless of if adjuvant chemotherapy is given, along with the factors such as age, comorbidity, complications, and tumor features. We propose a further investigation into the causal mechanisms based on tumor and host biology linking LOS to DFS beyond established risk factors.

Keywords: Colonic neoplasm; Disease-free survival; Postoperative length of stay; Prognostic risk factor.

Fig. 1

Disease-free survival among patients operated electively for stage III colon cancer between the years 2000–2015, in relation to length of stay, Clavien-Dindo, and age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index

Fig. 2

Disease-free survival among the three length of stay groups, presented with two survival plots: one cohort who received adjuvant chemotherapy and one who failed to receive adjuvant chemotherapy